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AP: Obama Cuts Gender Gap Among Men To 5%

From the Associated Press division of Obama For America:

AP-GfK poll: Romney erases Obama lead among women

By JENNIFER AGIESTA and NANCY BENAC | Thurs October 25, 2012

WASHINGTON (AP) — What gender gap?

Less than two weeks out from Election Day, Republican Mitt Romney has erased President Barack Obama’s 16-point advantage among women, a new Associated Press-GfK poll shows. And the president, in turn, has largely eliminated Romney’s edge among men.

Isn’t that convenient? What are the odds?

By the way, the New York Times stats ‘guru,’ Nat Silver, just wrote an article three days ago with the headline: "‘Gender Gap’ Near Historic Highs."

Those churning gender dynamics leave the presidential race still a virtual dead heat, with Romney favored by 47 percent of likely voters and Obama by 45 percent, a result within the poll’s margin of sampling error, the survey shows.

Whenever a mainstream media poll shows Romney ahead, they are always careful to point out that the lead is within their margin of error.

By the way, this poll oversampled Democrats among likely voters by 2%. (Dem/Rep/Ind = 45/43/6%.)

For the record they oversampled Democrats among total respondents by 11%. (Dem/Rep/Ind = 48/37/5%.) And they oversampled Democrats among registered voters by 5%. (Dem/Rep/Ind = 46/41/6%.)

After a commanding first debate performance and a generally good month, Romney has gained ground with Americans on a number of important fronts, including their confidence in how he would handle the economy and their impressions of his ability to understand their problems…

Even though the news media have told us that Obama and Biden won three out of the four debates.

At the same time, expectations that Obama will be re-elected have slipped: Half of voters now expect the president to win a second term, down from 55 percent a month earlier…

Uh-oh.

As the election nears, Romney has been playing down social issues and trying to project a more moderate stance on matters such as abortion in an effort to court female voters. The AP-GfK poll, taken Friday through Tuesday, shows Romney pulling even with Obama among women at 47-47 after lagging by 16 points a month earlier.

You see? Romney is only gaining in the polls with women because he is bamboozling them.

But now his campaign is grappling with the fallout from a comment by a Romney-endorsed Senate candidate in Indiana, who said that when a woman becomes pregnant during a rape "that’s something God intended." …

Even news article about the campaign from our one party media has managed to work in this non-story. They are so predictable, and relentless.

A renewed focus on social issues would be an unwelcome development for Romney: Among female likely voters, 55 percent say Obama would make the right decisions on women’s issues, compared with 41 percent who think Romney would…

This is the AP’s dog whistle to the rest of the news media to ratchet up their fear mongering about what Romney would do to women.

Romney’s pitch to women has been focused squarely on the economy, making the case that what women want most is to ensure their families and their country are on a solid financial footing. The poll shows that message appears to be taking root.

In other words, this is what has to be countered.

A month ago, women favored Obama over Romney on the economy 56 percent to 40 percent. Now, the split has shifted to 49 percent for Romney and 45 percent for Obama.

Similarly, Obama’s lead among women as the candidate who better understands the people’s problems has narrowed considerably, from a 58-36 Obama advantage last month to a 50-43 Obama edge now…

This must be stopped.

Obama, meanwhile, has been working to shore up his support among men, who tend to be more Republican than women. In the 2008 election, men broke 49 percent for Obama to 48 percent for John McCain, even though Obama got 53 percent of the vote overall. The president’s job approval ratings among men have tended to fall below his ratings among women throughout his first term.

A month ago, Romney’s advantage among men was 13 percentage points. Now, it’s down to 5 points, with most of the shift toward Obama coming among unmarried men…

There is no explanation from the AP as to why there is such a shift. But, in any case, it sure is convenient.

This article was posted by Steve Gilbert on Thursday, October 25th, 2012. Comments are currently closed.

4 Responses to “AP: Obama Cuts Gender Gap Among Men To 5%”

  1. Rusty Shackleford

    Understanding an individual’s problem is one thing. Understanding a nation’s problem is something else.

    A president must administer and promote constitutional policy to do what’s best for all not this person or that, as Obama does, while he suffers under the psychosis of the past 236 years all being “white supremacy”. When you start your day out with that on your mind, spend the day doing same and go to bed at night not diminishing those thoughts, they tend to control your actions, as is evidenced by his.

    Romney and I would not be “friends” though I dare say we’d enjoy a far more friendly exchange than I would with Obama. Obama and I have no common ground to explore and I so revile the man that I wouldn’t even want to look at him except to stare knives.

    Romney does however seem to understand the nation’s problems. At least domestically and fiscally. The past four years has been a wretched vomit of social issues, almost a re-deaux of the 1960’s hippies and dippies only now they’ve included the queers and child-molesters and the sand-people. The more the merrier? I think not because all they did was piss everybody off by showing their collective asses.

    Righting a ship that’s foundering is a man’s job. Not one for an impetuous teenager man-child with a smart-ass uptake on everything who also can’t tie his own shoes without having a news crew there to write an article about how wonderfully he does so. Romney is more interested in getting to work, I think than he is about having parties, playing golf or campaigning.

    Will he be a good president? Well, it’s like asking if you’d rather have the car with 150,000 miles on it or the one that doesn’t run. The one that doesn’t run looks real cool and has a zippy paintjob but the high-mileage unit has been solid, stable transportation for years and has never failed to get to its destination. Boring is fine. There were many people who forgot the adage about draining the swamp while up to their ass in alligators, I guess.

    Our initial objective is to get the economy moving, get people to jobs. Good jobs, not just burger-flipper jobs. Stop sending money to China, stop buying sand-people oil. Since they have no proven once again and clearly how much they hate us, they can now hate us without our money.

    A little isolationism is good. But it’s not “isolationism” to turn your back on those who have proven themselves to be harmful to us. Our dependence on foreign oil could be taken care of in a few short years. Meanwhile, the seikhs in Saudi Arabia will note the change and HAVE to A) find new markets for their black goo and B) drop the price of it as US production increases. Simple. Easy, strraightline economics.

    Romney must figure out a way to get businesses to return to the US and start making things again. Factory jobs in high-tech might help. Green products? NO! Not now…not ever.

    Get America working again could’ve been Romney’s campaign platform but admittedly it’s a bit played out.

    I think he’ll be a decent president as long as he keeps the Constitution close by for reference. But he certainly will be 1000% better than the muslim kenyan.

  2. Most of the shift is coming from unmarried men. Translation. We have the votes of the “too young to understand” and have sewn up the “We died but are still on the list” vote. Also those who get their news from Comedy Central or that wierd little guy… oh what’s his name… Rachael Maddow.

  3. GetBackJack

    Obama is LBGT, something

    I don’t want to know about his gap

  4. Right of the People

    I don’t know why we’re forced to go through this again and again but if you look at cycles it always happens. For whatever reason the populous tire of having adults run things and they fall for crap like Hope and Change and elect a miscreant like Obozo or Mr. Peanut. After four years of them f**king up big time they seem to come to their senses and put the adults back in office.

    Look at history the last seventy odd years. FDR was an aberration or some would say an abortion then Truman had two terms but in reality one was FDR’s although in my mind he was the last good Democrat. Eisenhower 2 terms, Kennedy 3/4, Johnson 1 1/4, Nixon was reelected but run out so I still count his as 2 terms. Mr. Peanut 1 term, (thank God), Reagan 2, Bush 41, 1, the only 1 term Republican but combined with Reagan 3 terms, Slick Willy the only Dem to get two since technically FDR, then Bush 43 and now hopefully the Boy King 1.

    I’m hoping the trend continues.


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