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AP: Racist Whites Will Cost Obama 2% At Polls

From the Associated Press:

AP poll: Majority harbor prejudice against blacks

Sat October 27, 2012

Racial attitudes have not improved in the four years since the United States elected its first black president, an Associated Press poll finds, as a slight majority of Americans now express prejudice toward blacks whether they recognize those feelings or not.

So Obama has failed to deliver on yet another one of his campaign promises: his promise to bring us together racially.

Those views could cost President Barack Obama votes as he tries for re-election, the survey found, though the effects are mitigated by some Americans’ more favorable views of blacks.

In other words, if you want to prove to the AP that you aren’t a racist you had better vote for Obama.

Racial prejudice has increased slightly since 2008 whether those feelings were measured using questions that explicitly asked respondents about racist attitudes, or through an experimental test that measured implicit views toward race without asking questions about that topic directly.

Note that the AP is turning psychologist on us. They are now mind readers, who can tell our "feelings" from polls, even feelings that we don’t know we have.

But this is not a poll. It is a psychological test. (But see the AP’s laughable ‘methodology’ below.)

In all, 51 percent of Americans now express explicit anti-black attitudes, compared with 48 percent in a similar 2008 survey.

When measured by an implicit racial attitudes test, the number of Americans with anti-black sentiments jumped to 56 percent, up from 49 percent during the last presidential election. In both tests, the share of Americans expressing pro-black attitudes fell

Most Americans expressed anti-Hispanic sentiments, too. In an AP survey done in 2011, 52 percent of non-Hispanic whites expressed anti-Hispanic attitudes. That figure rose to 57 percent in the implicit test. The survey on Hispanics had no past data for comparison.

Apparently, there was no effort to discover if there is any black or Hispanic racism. Even though blacks voted for Obama by 96% in 2008. And Hispanics are expected to vote for Obama by 70% over 30% for Romney.

And yet we aren’t told many Blacks and Hispanics hold negative views on whites.

The AP surveys were conducted with researchers from Stanford University, the University of Michigan and NORC at the University of Chicago…

Overall, the survey found that by virtue of racial prejudice, Obama could lose 5 percentage points off his share of the popular vote in his Nov. 6 contest against Republican challenger Mitt Romney. However, Obama also stands to benefit from a 3 percentage point gain due to pro-black sentiment, researchers said. Overall, that means an estimated net loss of 2 percentage points due to anti-black attitudes.

For the record, in this poll respondents said they would vote for Obama over Romney by 42% versus 33%, which is a 9% margin. So they don’t sound all that racist to us.

Moreover, the AP oversampled Democrats by 8%. (Dem/Rep/Ind = 35%/27%/20%.) — So maybe that’s why there is so much racism.

The Associated Press developed the surveys to measure sensitive racial views in several ways and repeated those studies several times between 2008 and 2012.

The explicit racism measures asked respondents whether they agreed or disagreed with a series of statements about black and Hispanic people. In addition, the surveys asked how well respondents thought certain words, such as "friendly," "hardworking," "violent" and "lazy," described blacks, whites and Hispanics.

The same respondents were also administered a survey designed to measure implicit racism, in which a photo of a black, Hispanic or white male flashed on the screen before a neutral image of a Chinese character. The respondents were then asked to rate their feelings toward the Chinese character. Previous research has shown that people transfer their feelings about the photo onto the character, allowing researchers to measure racist feelings even if a respondent does not acknowledge them.

Results from those questions were analyzed with poll takers’ ages, partisan beliefs, views on Obama and Romney and other factors, which allowed researchers to predict the likelihood that people would vote for either Obama or Romney. Those models were then used to estimate the net impact of each factor on the candidates’ support…

How wonderfully scientific.

But apparently the memo has gone out. On Thursday we had this report from the Washington Post: "Poll shows widening racial gap in presidential contest." And we got this piece from CNN on Friday: "Could Obama’s struggles with white voters cost him the election?"

From the Associated Press:

How The Associated Press polls were conducted

Sat October 27, 2012

The Associated Press polls were designed to dig into one of the most sensitive subjects in American politics: racial attitudes and their effect on how people will vote in an election in which the nation’s first black president could be re-elected…

Since many people are uncomfortable discussing race with pollsters or others they do not know, and some may not be aware of their own biases, the polls also used subtler techniques.

For one thing, the surveys were conducted online. Studies have shown people are more willing to reveal potentially unpopular attitudes on a computer than in questioning by a live interviewer.

And never mind that most responsible polling firms consider online polls to be practically useless.

The polls also used a technique aimed at measuring what psychologists call "affect misattribution." This involved showing faces of people of different races quickly on a screen before displaying a neutral image that people were asked to rate as pleasant or unpleasant. Studies have shown that people consciously or unconsciously transfer their feelings about the photograph to the object they are rating.

And it all has to do with the color of the person’s skin. It has nothing to do with the individual in the photo.

The researchers compared the subjects’ ages, party identification, perceptions of Obama and Romney, and other factors to their racial attitudes. This allowed them to create mathematical formulas predicting the likelihood that people would vote for either Obama or Romney, based on their different characteristics and attitudes. The models allowed them to estimate how much impact each factor has on each candidate’s support, controlling for other factors.

In other words, it’s witchcraft.

By using their formulas, the researchers were able to conclude that race was a factor in how people vote, independent of their other political views and their demographic characteristics. They then used the formulas to predict how much support Obama is losing because of his race…

And, after all, there can’t be any other explanation as to why Obama is losing.

The study on attitudes toward African-Americans included interviews with 1,071 adults between Aug. 30 and Sept. 11. It was conducted by GfK Custom Research under the supervision of AP’s polling unit. A 2011 survey assessed attitudes toward Hispanics and was conducted April 8-23, 2011, by GfK Custom Research, known at the time as Knowledge Networks, among 1,053 adults

Note that these polls were conducted more than six weeks ago and are only being trotted out now. Which tells us they are looking for yet another scapegoat in case Obama loses.

Apparently, Bill Clinton isn’t enough. They have to blame racist white America.

This article was posted by Steve on Monday, October 29th, 2012. Comments are currently closed.

5 Responses to “AP: Racist Whites Will Cost Obama 2% At Polls”

  1. untrainable says:

    …some may not be aware of their own biases, the polls also used subtler techniques.”
    So by being subtle and asking seemingly innocuous questions they can tell that you’re a racist even if you don’t know that you’re racist. Wow. Mindgamers in action. The thought police are born.

    I don’t care what color Obama is, he has spent the last 4 years wiping his ass with the constitution, tossing out executive orders, bypassing the congress, spending the USA into oblivion, and throwing Hollywierd parties on my dime. I’m sick of it. NOW is the time that we need real CHANGE. I HOPE we get it next week.

  2. River0 says:

    Obummer and the Demonicrats have set racial relations back 110 years – with the black community. Their narrative of the poor, black, innocent and helpless victim of racism was promulgated at every opportunity.

    The black community allowed itself to be co-opted and used by Leftists in the 1960’s, under Lyndon Johnson. They were enslaved once again, on the welfare plantation. When black leaders like Bill Cosby speak up, they are reviled and shouted down.

    Now we have the first Affirmative Action president, and the unfolding disaster of his regime will blight his people for generations.

    Compare this scenario with the Asian one. Family cohesion and cultural loyalty has put them at the forefront of minority success.
    Of course there are great black leaders on the right, but it will be a long while before they have a voice with their people.

  3. GetBackJack says:

    You keep calling me a racists and I might just turn into one

  4. Mithrandir says:

    If you voted for black skin color, you’re just as racist as someone who voted for white skin color in 2008, and now in 2012.

    Blacks who vote Obama because he is black: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CDlJMtjMMvw
    TRIBAL MENTALITY is the path to hatred / war / genocide.

    Only women can admit sexism by voting for a woman

    Only Hispanics and Blacks can admit racism by voting only for a Black or Hisapanic

    Only gays can admit heterophobia by supporting a gay candidate

    BUT BY GOD! A white person claim racial symmetry in an election? We are going back to 1845 people!

  5. Anonymoose says:

    In other words we’re biased, we’re just not aware of it, so no matter how much it is Obama looks like a bad deal disapproval of him is racism.

    I remember when I was in college, oh, back in the Reagan years, I was in a university apartment building, four guys in an apartment. It began with me and one white guy, and the only possession we had other than clothes and school books was my family’s old TV set I put in the main room.

    Two black guys moved in and from day one it was non-stop rap music and phone calls from their girlfriends and partying. They had two stereos, TV’s, VCR’s, etc. and kept everything in their room and didn’t want to share.

    Within a month one of them lost some money, and accused either me or the other white guy of stealing it. It was a lot of accusations culminating in a sit down talk where me and the other white guy were told to either come clean or the police would be talking to us. Nothing came of it, but needless to say the remainder of my time there was awkward and I heard they were surprised when I just disappeared one day by moving out.

    Reverse the racial roles and this is how the politically correct would see things and still do. Yet this was what I experienced, and somehow isn’t reality–or at least an accepted reality. This was also a quarter of a century ago, and the racial environment today is so bad I can’t even mention this without being accused of racism.

    Things will never improve without objectivity, or stopping all the “wake up calls” and “need for progress” and realizing the days of segregation ended a long time ago. “Progress” isn’t forever after insisting it’s still the early 60’s, nor is reading in racist behavior where ever it’s politically expedient. It’s really no surprise to me that any opposition to Obama is called racist, that was part of the plan.

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