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AP Tries To Cover For Al Gore’s Hysteria

From the UK’s Times:

Inconvenient truth for Al Gore as his North Pole sums don’t add up

Hannah Devlin, Ben Webster, Philippe Naughton in Copenhagen

December 14, 2009

There are many kinds of truth. Al Gore was poleaxed by an inconvenient one yesterday.

The former US Vice-President, who became an unlikely figurehead for the green movement after narrating the Oscar-winning documentary An Inconvenient Truth, became entangled in a new climate change “spin” row.

Mr Gore, speaking at the Copenhagen climate change summit, stated the latest research showed that the Arctic could be completely ice-free in five years.

In his speech, Mr Gore told the conference: “These figures are fresh. Some of the models suggest to Dr [Wieslav] Maslowski that there is a 75 per cent chance that the entire north polar ice cap, during the summer months, could be completely ice-free within five to seven years.”

However, the climatologist whose work Mr Gore was relying upon dropped the former Vice-President in the water with an icy blast.

“It’s unclear to me how this figure was arrived at,” Dr Maslowski said. “I would never try to estimate likelihood at anything as exact as this.”

Mr Gore’s office later admitted that the 75 per cent figure was one used by Dr Maslowksi as a “ballpark figure” several years ago in a conversation with Mr Gore

Perhaps Mr Gore had felt the need to gild the lily to buttress resolve. But his speech was roundly criticised by members of the climate science community. “This is an exaggeration that opens the science up to criticism from sceptics,” Professor Jim Overland, a leading oceanographer at the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said.

“You really don’t need to exaggerate the changes in the Arctic.”

Others said that, even if quoted correctly, Dr Maslowski’s six-year projection for near-ice-free conditions is at the extreme end of the scale. Most climate scientists agree that a 20 to 30-year timescale is more likely for the near-disappearance of sea ice.

“Maslowski’s work is very well respected, but he’s a bit out on a limb,” said Professor Peter Wadhams, a specialist in ocean physics at the University of Cambridge.

Dr Maslowki, who works at the US Naval Postgraduate School in California, said that his latest results give a six-year projection for the melting of 80 per cent of the ice, but he said he expects some ice to remain beyond 2020.

He added: “I was very explicit that we were talking about near-ice-free conditions and not completely ice-free conditions in the northern ocean. I would never try to estimate likelihood at anything as exact as this,” he said. “It’s unclear to me how this figure was arrived at, based on the information I provided to Al Gore’s office.”

Richard Lindzen, a climate scientist at the Massachusets Institute of Technology who does not believe that global warming is largely caused by man, said: “He’s just extrapolated from 2007, when there was a big retreat, and got zero.”

Meanwhile, the Associated Press does their (un)level best to ride to the rescue of their befuddle champion:

Gore: Polar ice may vanish in 5-7 years

By Charles J. Hanley, AP Special Correspondent – Mon Dec 14

COPENHAGEN – New computer modeling suggests the Arctic Ocean may be nearly ice-free in the summertime as early as 2014, Al Gore said Monday at the U.N. climate conference. This new projection, following several years of dramatic retreat by polar sea ice, suggests that the ice cap may nearly vanish in the summer much sooner than the year 2030, as was forecast by a U.S. government agency eight months ago.

One U.S. government scientist Monday questioned the new prediction as too severe, but other researchers previously have projected a quicker end than 2030 to the Arctic summer ice cap.

"It is hard to capture the astonishment that the experts in the science of ice felt when they saw this," said former U.S. Vice President Gore, who joined Scandinavian officials and scientists to brief journalists and delegates. It was Gore’s first appearance at the two-week conference.

The group presented two new reports updating fast-moving developments in Antarctica, the autonomous Danish territory of Greenland, and the rest of the Arctic…

Gore and Danish ice scientist Dorthe Dahl Jensen clicked through two slide shows for a standing-room-only crowd of hundreds in a side event at the Bella Center conference site.

One report, on the Greenland ice sheet, was issued by the Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Program, an expert group formed by eight Arctic governments, including the United States. The other, commissioned by Gore and Norway’s government, was compiled by the Norwegian Polar Institute on the status of ice melt worldwide.

Average global temperatures have increased 0.74 degrees C (1.3 degrees F) in the past century, but the mercury has risen at least twice as quickly in the Arctic. Scientists say the makeup of the frozen north polar sea has shifted significantly in recent years as much of the thick multiyear ice has given way to thin seasonal ice.

In the summer of 2007, the Arctic ice cap dwindled to a record-low minimum extent of 4.3 million square kilometers (1.7 million square miles) in September. The melting in 2008 and 2009 was not as extensive, but still ranked as the second- and third-greatest decreases on record.

Last April, the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicted that Arctic summers could be almost ice-free within 30 years, not at the 21st century’s end as earlier predicted.

Gore cited new scientific work at the U.S. Naval Postgraduate School, whose Arctic ice research is important for planning polar voyages by Navy submarines. The computer modeling there stresses the "volumetric," looking not just at the surface extent of ice but its thickness as well.

"Some of the models suggest that there is a 75 percent chance that the entire north polar ice cap during some of the summer months will be completely ice-free within the next five to seven years," Gore said. His office later said he meant nearly ice-free, because ice would be expected to survive in island channels and other locations.

Asked for comment, one U.S. government scientist questioned what he called this "aggressive" projection.

"It’s possible but not likely," said Mark Serreze of the U.S. National Snow and Ice Data Center in Boulder, Colorado. "We’re sticking with 2030."

On the other hand, a leading NASA ice scientist, Jay Zwally, said last year that the Arctic could be essentially ice-free within "five to less than 10 years."

Meanwhile, what’s happening to Greenland’s titanic ice sheet "has really surprised us," said Jensen of the University of Copenhagen.

She cited one huge glacier in west Greenland, at Jakobshavn, that in recent years has doubled its rate of dumping ice into the sea. Between melted land ice and heat expansion of ocean waters, the sea-level rise has increased from 1.8 millimeters a year to 3.4 millimeters (.07 inch a year to .13 inch) in the past 10 years.

Jensen said the biggest ice sheets — Greenland and West Antarctica — were already contributing 1 millimeter (.04 inch) a year to those rising sea levels. She said this could double within the next decade.

"With global warming, we have woken giants," she said.

You see, despite even their own alarmist headline, according to the AP, Mr. Gore’s claim was just a slip of the tongue:

"Some of the models suggest that there is a 75 percent chance that the entire north polar ice cap during some of the summer months will be completely ice-free within the next five to seven years," Gore said. His office later said he meant nearly ice-free, because ice would be expected to survive in island channels and other locations.

And, besides, a lot of scientists agree with Mr. Gore’s original statement anyway. Well, one, anyway. But he’s a "leading NASA ice scientist."

But do note that now suddenly the thickness of the ice is different.

Isn’t that convenient?

So even if satellite photographs show that there is actually more ice in the Arctic and Greenland, there really is less – because it’s not as thick.

We love creative science.

This article was posted by Steve on Tuesday, December 15th, 2009. Comments are currently closed.

13 Responses to “AP Tries To Cover For Al Gore’s Hysteria”

  1. wardmama4 says:

    Yet, yet oh say Glen Beck who simply used the words of the people he is commenting on (Van Jones for instance) is a hate mongering alcoholic fool and Rush who simply uses facts (Medicare is rampant with fraud and waste and about to go financial belly up) is fear mongering. . .

    Wonder what, in a sane and reality based World – the lying, distorting Al Gore would be labeled?

    The sheer and utter arrogance – You really need to get the You-Tube of this, he starts with like 500 billion years but in the past 100 it’s lost- a real idiot no matter how you cut it – but as I said the arrogance to pronounce on high that somehow just a 100+ years of mankind living on the edge (and oh so over the top Al Gore should know about high living) should destroy earth is just such bs.

    Sometimes I wish for the God of the Old Testament who would strike liars dead in an instant – it would make life today so much easier. (Of course most of us would be dead!)

    • Rusty Shackleford says:

      Sad truth time:

      Algore cares not what people label him. He has made billions in this trade and his only goal is to keep it alive as long as he can to make more. The particular commodity is BS that he’s selling and there are plenty of people willing to part with their money to be part of the fad. If he can steal money from the government, so much the better. So he’s the PT Barnum of our time. Back in those times, it was said “There’s a sucker born every minute” and Mr Barnum had a vested interest in getting fools to part with their money.

      Sure, lots of folks called him what he was, but at least he didn’t hide his showmanship under some made up, supposedly legit moniker. So, Algore had to up the ante and play the game better than it’s been played in some time. In fact PT Barnum would blush with pride at uncle Al’s successful fleecing of the public.

      But as with all scams, the truth eventually has to come out, or, even if it doesn’t, eventually people get bored and will then glom onto the next big thing.

      Gotta admit, he did his homework on this. But he’s still a crook. It’s no great surprise then that he desires to keep the thing alive until it’s just a rotting bunch of hair on the floor. It’s made him rich and given that he has no marketable skills, other than working for Sham-Wow (key word “sham”)….then he’ll maximize his profits then ooze back into the substrate, to never be heard from again…unless they pay him for his appearance.

      Simple. Doesn’t require a whole lot of thought.

  2. JohnMG says:

    I’ll wait for the E-mails to come out before rendering an opinion. ;-}

  3. canary says:

    The other, commissioned by Gore and Norway’s government, was compiled by the Norwegian Polar Institute on the status of ice melt worldwide.

    I don’t get it, there are so many articles that Obama has given the okay for the U.S. Shell to drill for oil. This is no secret to Gore, so why blame it on global warming. Obama wants global warming.

  4. canary says:

    Senator James Inhofe OK-R says “too much flat out lying on global warming”

    Palin says Al Gore would just wee wee himself if she challenged him to debate

    • GL0120 says:

      Even if Algore did wee-wee himself, who would notice?
      This is the same guy who, during his campaign, a magazine had to airbrush a bulge in his pants in an attempt to draw attention to him.
      I predict that someday soon, the AGW nonsense will collapse under its own weight and Algore will once again be an insignificant has-been.
      Of course, due to his Quixotic crusade, he’ll be a very rich insignificant has-been.
      Personally, I’d love to see the results of a tax audit on him.

  5. BannedbytheTaliban says:

    It is time Al Gore be held accountable for his actions. Here is my plan.

    1. Put the Goracle in a helo a chopper him up to the North Pole in seven years, during the summer.
    2. Hover at an altitude someone would survive hitting the water but not ice.
    3. Push him out, with a dry suit and some other flotation device just to be nice.

    If he is right, he will live. If not, man-bear-pig will no longer threaten the Earth.

    • Liberals Demise says:

      Right you are, Banned.
      Lest we forget……..
      “……..and a polar bear will feast on the bloated carcass, saving itself from starvation.”

  6. proreason says:

    “It’s unclear to me how this figure was arrived at,”

    Al Toad made it up, like he makes up everything else he says.

    If it wasn’t for Obamy, the Toad dance with the truth would seem unusual, even for a Dimocrat.

    But of course, with the Moron cetrifuging the truth at 21 trilllion rpm, Mr Toad’s little white lies only seem amusing in comparison.

  7. wirenut says:

    Perhaps the algore could explain why the freezer section of my frig is not producing ice, as well. The ice tray is empty, yet the contents are froze. Now that’s alarming! To the best of my knowledge, Bush,Cheney,or any Big Oil executive has never been in there. Certain medications I consume, require a modest amount of ice. Maybe I’ll just stick a pail of water outside and wait. At 1 degree fahrenheit it won’t take long.
    GLO120, in algore’s case, the prick starts at the shirt collar and moves up. My guess is, he’s a no fly zone.

  8. U NO HOO says:

    “north polar ice cap, during the summer months, could be completely ice-free within five to seven years”

    And what would be wrong with that?

  9. puhiawa says:

    The Arctic cap could be free of ice and it would not make a bit of difference to the average human being, seal, or polar bear. It would make life easier and not hurt these species a whit.

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