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British: Iran Hoodwinked CIA About Nukes

From the UK’s Telegraph:

Iran ‘hoodwinked’ CIA over nuclear plans

By Tim Shipman in Washington, Philip Sherwell and Carolynne Wheeler


British spy chiefs have grave doubts that Iran has mothballed its nuclear weapons programme, as a US intelligence report claimed last week, and believe the CIA has been hoodwinked by Teheran.

The timing of the CIA report has also provoked fury in the British Government, where officials believe it has undermined efforts to impose tough new sanctions on Iran and made an Israeli attack on its nuclear facilities more likely.

The security services in London want concrete evidence to allay concerns that the Islamic state has fed disinformation to the CIA.

The report used new evidence – including human sources, wireless intercepts and evidence from an Iranian defector – to conclude that Teheran suspended the bomb-making side of its nuclear programme in 2003. But British intelligence is concerned that US spy chiefs were so determined to avoid giving President Bush a reason to go to war – as their reports on Saddam Hussein’s weapons programmes did in Iraq – that they got it wrong this time.

A senior British official delivered a withering assessment of US intelligence-gathering abilities in the Middle East and revealed that British spies shared the concerns of Israeli defence chiefs that Iran was still pursuing nuclear weapons.

The source said British analysts believed that Iranian nuclear staff, knowing their phones were tapped, deliberately gave misinformation. “We are sceptical. We want to know what the basis of it is, where did it come from? Was it on the basis of the defector? Was it on the basis of the intercept material? They say things on the phone because they know we are up on the phones. They say black is white. They will say anything to throw us off.

“It’s not as if the American intelligence agencies are regarded as brilliant performers in that region. They got badly burned over Iraq.”

A US intelligence source has revealed that some American spies share the concerns of the British and the Israelis. “Many middle- ranking CIA veterans believe Iran is still committed to producing nuclear weapons and are concerned that the agency lost a number of its best sources in Iran in 2004,” the official said…

One hopes that the NIE was based on more than a few intercepts. The New York Times has thoughtfully leaked information to claim that more was involved.

But lest we forget, the Soviet Union, China, France, Israel, India, Pakistan, Libya, North Korea and Syria all blindsided the world with their nuclear programs — not to mention Iraq.

So it may behoove us to be highly skeptical of any definitive claims from the intelligence community about nuclear proliferation.

This article was posted by Steve on Monday, December 10th, 2007. Comments are currently closed.

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