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CNN Poll: Obama And Romney Tied (Dems+ 11!)

From CNN:

CNN National Poll: Dead heat between Obama and Romney

By CNN Political Unit | Sun November 4, 2012

Washington (CNN) – It’s all tied up, according to a new national poll released two days before the presidential election.

And the CNN/ORC International survey not only indicates a dead heat in the race for the White House, but also on almost every major indicator of President Barack Obama and Republican nominee Mitt Romney that was tested in the poll.

Forty-nine percent of likely voters questioned say they support the president, with an equal amount saying they back the former Massachusetts governor…

Mind you, this CNN poll had to oversample Democrats by a simply outrageous 11% (Dem/Rep/Ind = 41/30/29%) for them to even get a tie out of it.

The poll is the fourth national non-partisan, live operator survey released Sunday to indicate the battle for the presidency either a dead heat or virtually tied. A Politico/George Washington University survey has it tied at 48%; an NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll indicates Obama at 48% and Romney at 47%; and the latest ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll puts Obama at 49% and Romney at 48%…

And, of course, every one of these surveys oversampled Democrats, too. Even though both Gallup and Rasmussen (and even Pew) agree that the Republican turnout will be at least one or two percent higher.

A Pew Research Center survey also released Sunday indicates the president at 50% and the GOP challenger at 47%, which is within the survey’s sampling error…

We’ll say it is.

From the Pew Research Center for the People and the Press:

Obama Gains Edge in Campaign’s Final Days

Obama 50% – Romney 47%

Released: November 4, 2012

Barack Obama has edged ahead of Mitt Romney in the final days of the presidential campaign. In the Pew Research Center’s election weekend survey, Obama holds a 48% to 45% lead over Romney among likely voters.

The survey finds that Obama maintains his modest lead when the probable decisions of undecided voters are taken into account. Our final estimate of the national popular vote is Obama 50% and Romney 47%, when the undecided vote is allocated between the two candidates based on several indicators and opinions.

In fact, Pew oversampled Democrats among likely voters by 4%. (Dem/Rep/Ind = 36/32/29%.) In fact, the movement in the Pew poll over the last month has been a net of 8 points toward Obama. Essentially all due to a shift from R+5 to D+4, which is a nine point shift to help Obama.

A week ago the race was deadlocked, with each candidate drawing support from 47% of the likely electorate. Interviewing for the final pre-election survey was conducted Oct. 31- Nov. 3 among 2,709 likely voters. The previous survey was conducted Oct. 24-28, before Hurricane Sandy made landfall along the East Coast.

Obama’s handling of the storm’s aftermath may have contributed to his improved showing. Fully 69% of all likely voters approve of the way Obama is handling the storm’s impact. Even a plurality of Romney supporters (46%) approve of Obama’s handling of the situation; more important, so too do 63% of swing voters.

You see, Obama is getting a bounce for the miserably slow response to Sandy. Apparently, lots of people love sitting in the dark and the cold without food and water. And lots of people love waiting in gas lines for six to seven hours.

And naturally those who don’t only blame their Mayors and Governors. They would never think of blaming President Obama. No, back during Katrina the question on everyone’s lips was: “Where’s Bush?” During Sandy it’s: “Where’s the mayor? Where’s the governor?"

Voter turnout, which may be lower than in 2008 and 2004, remains one of Romney’s strengths. Romney’s supporters continue to be more engaged in the election and interested in election news than Obama supporters, and are more committed to voting…

Which is to say that Pew admits Republicans have a turnout advantage. So why do they oversampled Democrats by 4%?

This is reiterated by Breitbart:

Pew: Romney Holds Turnout Edge Ahead of Vote

by Mike Flynn | Sun November 4, 2012

This afternoon, Pew Research is out with its final poll of the 2012 campaign. It finds that Romney continues to hold the edge on voter turnout. By solid margins, Romney supporters are more engaged in the campaign, are following news of the campaign closely and are more likely to vote. It also finds that the Democrats big party ID advantage from 2008 has collapsed. In 2008, among registered voters Democrats held a 12-point lead on party identification. This year, the Democrat lead is just 5 points. That isn’t enough to withstand Romney’s turnout advantage…

Again, why does this last Pew Poll oversample Democrats by 4% when they admit the GOP has a turnout advantage? We know why.

After all, they have a job to do. And their job is to get Obama re-elected by hook or by crook.

This article was posted by Steve on Monday, November 5th, 2012. Comments are currently closed.

2 Responses to “CNN Poll: Obama And Romney Tied (Dems+ 11!)”

  1. GetBackJack says:

    And Valerie Jarrett was just up in Aspen at the Aspen Institute Ideas Conference lecturing attendees about the horrors of vote fraud and voter suppression.

    Heads Up for all you S&L’s who don’t know Aspen Institute.

    To understand AI (it’s a winky wink) you have to first grasp Tavistock Institute.

    Tavistock has as its outlets many research institutes and think tanks in America, exactly the same relationship as manufacturer and wholesaler. The principal oulets in the United States are the Stanford Research Institute, Rand Research and Development Corporation, the Institute For Policy Studies, the Aspen Institute, the Hudson Institute, and the Brookings Institute. Tavistock runs over 30 research institutions in the United States.

    This is representative of the sort of gatherings of “influential leaders” this hive-mind assembles and influences

    Valerie Jarrett lecturing these people on vate fraud is like Jesse Jackson lecturing the NAACP on blackness. It’s an audience who’s already convinced, so what’s the point? Why waste the energy and time?

    Prepping the battlespace.

    When Obama starts to look like he’s losing the allegations of voter fraud will explode and recounts will be demanded.

    Really? How Could This Happen?

    This kind of obviousness will be planted by the Dems in order to call into question all vote results. Then the Joseph Staling Vote Count begins. “It doesn’t who they vote for. It matters who counts the votes.”


  2. Right of the People says:

    Fox News had Andy Napolitano on this morning speaking about the armies of election law ambulance chasers out in every state ready to pounce if a race is even remotely close. Remember what happened in Minnesota and why we have that asshole Al Franken in the senate.

    If the race is close look for the Dems to do their best to steal it. Our only hope for a clean outcome is a landslide.

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