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CNN Poll: Trump Best With Issues, Mostly Likely To Win

Apparently Trump represents hope and change — or at least hope for change — to a lot of Republicans.

From a gobsmacked CNN:

CNN / ORC Poll: Trump tops in Iowa as Scott Walker drops

By Jennifer Agiesta | August 12, 2015

Washington (CNN) — Donald Trump has a significant lead in the race to win over likely Iowa caucus-goers, according to the first CNN/ORC poll in the state this cycle. Trump tops the field with 22% and is the candidate seen as best able to handle top issues including the economy, illegal immigration and terrorism. He’s most cited as the one with the best chance of winning the general election, and, by a wide margin, as the candidate most likely to change the way things work in Washington.

Holy carp.

Retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson follows Trump in overall preference with 14%, bumping Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, who had held the top spot in most recent public polling in Iowa, down to third place with 9%. Walker is nearly even with a slew of other candidates.

Wow. And Scott Walker is the ‘boy next door.’

Previous public polls had found Carson with around 10% support, but most were released before last week’s debate. A Suffolk University poll of Iowa Republicans released Tuesday found Carson’s closing remarks to be the most memorable moment for those who watched the prime time debate. Texas Sen. Ted Cruz follows the top three at 8%, with businesswoman Carly Fiorina and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee both at 7%. Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush is tied at 5% with senators Rand Paul and Marco Rubio. The rest of the field stands at 3% or less.

Two-thirds of Iowa Republicans who are likely to attend the caucus say they’re still trying to decide whom to support. Among the 34% who say they have made up their mind or are leading toward a candidate, Trump’s lead grows, and the top of the field shifts. Among that group, 33% back Trump, 14% Carson, 11% Fiorina, and 9% each back Paul and Walker. Cruz follows at 7%, and all others have less than 5% support.

But Trump’s advantages are not universal. He faces a large gender gap: While holding a 15-point lead over his nearest competitor among men (27% Trump to 12% Walker, Carson at 10%), he trails among women (20% back Carson, 15% Trump, and 11% support Fiorina). He runs behind Carson and about even with Walker and Cruz among those who describe themselves as "very conservative" (25% Carson, 15% each Cruz and Walker, 12% Trump), and he runs even with Carson among evangelical Christians (18% each Trump and Carson, 12% Cruz, 11% Huckabee, 10% Walker)…

Trump’s support in Iowa rests on perceptions that he would do the best job handling several top issues and that he is most electable. He tops the list by wide margins when GOP caucus-goers are asked which candidate they trust most to handle the economy, illegal immigration and terrorism. And Trump holds his biggest advantage as the candidate who "is most likely to change the way things work in Washington," 44% say Trump can do that, no other candidate hits double-digits.

Apparently Trump represents hope and change — or at least hope for change — to a lot of Republicans.

But while Trump falters somewhat on representing the values of Republicans, no clear leader emerges on that question, with nine candidates at 5% or higher: 14% Carson, 12% Trump, 11% Huckabee, 10% Cruz, 9% Walker, 6% each Bush and Paul, and 5% each Fiorina and Jindal. And he falls well below the lead when voters are asked which candidate would best handle abortion; 17% each say Carson and Huckabee would be best on that score, 7% each choose Bush and Trump, 6% each Cruz, Paul and Walker, and Rubio stands at 5%…

The poll was conducted August 7-11 among a statewide sample of 2,014 Iowa adults, 544 of whom were identified as likely Republican caucusgoers based on questions about whether they are registered to vote, likelihood of voting, past voting behavior and interest in the campaign. The margin of sampling error for results among the sample of likely Republican caucus attendees is plus or minus 4 percentage points.

After all his supposed ‘gaffes.’ Go figure.

This article was posted by Steve on Thursday, August 13th, 2015. Comments are currently closed.

2 Responses to “CNN Poll: Trump Best With Issues, Mostly Likely To Win”

  1. Mithrandir says:

    Let’s review how Republicans lose and win elections

    Lose: (the John McCain approach)

    -soft feminine Mike Farrell-like speaking
    -avoid social issues
    -long, drawn-out logical debates that have really no indication of governing ability
    -1000 page philosophical books most people won’t read
    -reach across the aisle, give democrats everything they want, hoping to get something in return
    -international appeasers
    -speak in wishy-washy platitudes
    -fail to punch back
    -in love with the media, scared to death of their opinion
    -answers every single gotcha question totally unaware it’s a gotcha question
    -explain, re-explain, re-re-explain your position when the media purposely takes it out of contex
    -abandons the majority base for the few lazy moderates who are so stupid, un-informed, un-educated, paranoid frightened squirrels, that if you say anything loudly or do anything too suddenly, they will scurry up to the top branch of a tree and not come down.

    Win: (The Ronald Reagan approach)

    -American-style tough talking and carrying a big stick
    -We win, you lose!-style of diplomacy dealing with our enemies
    -We have power, and we’re not embarrassed to use it
    -Stick to 4 or 5 main issues without distraction. Most people would be grateful for even 1 issue getting resolved in their lifetime
    -I hold court, not the media
    -Say what I mean, mean what I say, -the John Wayne style
    -Flag-waving patriot that wants to take care of us first, and aid to Pakistan last
    -I am a proud American, we still have a great country, follow me, we’ll get it done, just watch and see!
    -cowards can stay up in your tree, we don’t need you anyway

    Trump seems to embody what we want to see in an American president. Not a single other Republican other than Carly Fiorina are willing to role up their sleeves and start throwing haymakers. –and whaddaya know? They aren’t seasoned politicians, yet everyone seems to like them.

  2. chainsaw says:

    Trumps big 3 attributes are 1. his wallet 2. his fame 3. his ego. I worked in one of his companies for 8 years. He obtained much by using the court system in not paying his debts. What does that say about his character?

    IMO, Trump cares about Trump, he said so the last time he ran, stating it’s the kind of publicity that couldn’t be bought. His narcissism rivals Obama.

    I’m hopeful that as conservatives move forward, the imposters will fall by the wayside. Don’t take the bait that our media is feeding. They have an agenda and are playing us.

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