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Obama: Odds Of Winning Always Been Low

From France’s AFP:

Worsening polls reveal Obama’s pastor problem

by Jitendra Joshi

WASHINGTON (AFP) – Democrat Barack Obama suffered in the polls Thursday after a much-acclaimed speech on race that, pundits said, had failed to defuse voters’ anger over rage-filled sermons by his former pastor.

Waging an acrimonious battle against Hillary Clinton for the Democrats’ White House nomination, Obama confessed to being bruised by the controversy surrounding his longtime Chicago preacher, Reverend Jeremiah Wright.

In some ways this controversy has actually shaken me up a little bit and gotten me back into remembering that, you know, the odds of me getting elected have always been lower than some of the other conventional candidates,” the Illinois senator told CNN in an interview that aired late Wednesday…

Obama, the first African-American with a viable shot at the presidency, used his landmark address on race and politics to try to blunt the Wright controversy but also to elevate the debate to a higher plane…

A clutch of polls released since Tuesday pointed to an erosion of Obama’s support, with white working-class voters and independents especially alienated…

The latest Gallup daily tracking poll found Clinton pulling into a seven-point lead nationally over Obama, 49 percent to 42 percent. It was Clinton’s first statistically significant lead over Obama in more than a month.

The initial indications are that the speech has not halted Clinton’s gaining momentum, as she led by a similar margin in Tuesday night’s polling as compared to Monday night’s polling,” Gallup said…

The poll also found Republican nominee-elect John McCain benefiting from the Democratic brawling. The Arizona senator had an edge of 47 percent to 43 percent over Obama, and a lead of 48 percent to 45 over Clinton.

Another survey by Rasmussen gave Obama a favorable rating of 48 percent among voters. Just before the Wright videos emerged last week, Obama’s rating was 52 percent.

CBS News poll numbers showed Obama still just ahead of Clinton among Democratic primary voters — 46 percent to 43. But a month ago, his margin was far wider at 54 percent to 38.

“If the sort of figures we’ve been seeing in the past 48 hours persist, they will certainly play into the superdelegates’ calculation,” said Bill Galston, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution and former White House advisor…

One suspects the Democrat superdelegates (aka party bosses) will not have the temerity to take the nomination away from Mr. Obama because of his 20 year relationship with a racist black pastor and an Afrocentric church.

That simply will not to play in Peoria Detroit.

In some ways this controversy has actually shaken me up a little bit and gotten me back into remembering that, you know, the odds of me getting elected have always been lower than some of the other conventional candidates.

What an abrupt change of turn. Talk about lowering expectations.

Of course this is only because the voters are racists, and not due to the fact that Mr. Obama is completely unqualified for the office nor that he has repeatedly shown a remarkable lack of good judgment.

No, Mr. Obama is a victim after all.

But gosh what an amazing speech.

(Maybe it sounded better in French.)

This article was posted by Steve on Thursday, March 20th, 2008. Comments are currently closed.

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