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Gallup: Romney Gains 5% After Record Debate

From an annoyed Gallup:

Romney Narrows Vote Gap After Historic Debate Win

By record-high margin, debate watchers say Romney did better

by Jeffrey M. Jones | October 8, 2012

PRINCETON, NJ — Registered voters’ preferences for president are evenly split in the first three days of Gallup tracking since last Wednesday’s presidential debate. In the three days prior to the debate, Barack Obama had a five-percentage-point edge among registered voters.

And the uptick is probably even higher among likely voters. (But Gallup does not reveal its methodology.)

Gallup typically reports voter presidential preferences in seven-day rolling averages; the latest such average as of Saturday interviewing shows Obama with an average three-point edge, 49% to 46%, among registered voters. This Sept. 30-Oct. 6 field period includes three days before the Oct. 3 debate, the night of the debate itself, and three days after the debate

So a third of these people were polled before the debate. So Mr. Romney’s ‘bounce’ could still be bigger.

An Oct. 4-5 Gallup poll finds roughly two in three Americans reporting that they watched the Oct. 3 debate, similar to what Gallup measured for each of the three 2008 presidential debates. Those who viewed the debate overwhelmingly believe Romney did a better job than Obama, 72% to 20%. Republicans were nearly unanimous in judging Romney the winner. But even Democrats rated Romney as doing a better job than Obama, 49% to 39%…

Across all of the various debate-reaction polls Gallup has conducted, Romney’s 52-point win is the largest Gallup has measured. The prior largest margin was 42 points for Bill Clinton over George H.W. Bush in the 1992 town hall debate.

For some reason Gallup doesn’t tell us how far back their debate polls go.

Romney’s debate performance is also notable from the standpoint that U.S. debate watchers judged Obama the winner of all three 2008 debates with John McCain…

Note that Gallup doesn’t cite their polls for this claim.

However, the generally positive unemployment report released on Friday may serve to blunt some of Romney’s post-debate momentum…

Even though Gallup’s own chief economist has said that the BLS unemployment report did not even have ‘face validity.’

This article was posted by Steve Gilbert on Monday, October 8th, 2012. Comments are currently closed.

3 Responses to “Gallup: Romney Gains 5% After Record Debate”

  1. Right of the People

    If they are reporting them even, Romney must be ahead by a ton! I think unless some October surprise happens like Obummer declaring martial law that we’ll see another Reagan – Carter landslide.

  2. electraglide

    Funny how Obama never seems to get below 47 percent…

    Where have I heard that number before?




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