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Global Warming ‘Will Kill Thousands’ In UK

From the global warming hysterics at the UK’s Guardian:


Eggborough power station, near Selby.

Climate change soon could kill thousands in UK, says report

Andrew Sparrow, senior political correspondent

Tuesday February 12 2008

Climate change could lead to a heatwave in the south-east of England killing 3,000 people within the next decade, a Department of Health report said today.

It put the chances of a heatwave of that severity happening by 2017 at 25%.

Without preventative action, the report said that a nine-day heatwave, with temperatures averaging at least 27 degrees over 24 hours, would cause 3,000 immediate deaths, with another 3,350 people dying from heat-related conditions during the summer.

It predicted that there would be an increase in skin cancers due to increased exposure to sunlight and that, over the next half century, air pollution could lead to an extra 1,500 deaths and hospital admissions a year.

While malaria outbreaks were likely to remain rare, the report – Health Effects of Climate Change in the UK 2008 – said health authorities would need to be alert to the dangers posed by possible larger outbreaks of malaria in continental Europe.

The report, a follow-up to a study first published in 2002, said the latest modelling now suggested that temperatures would rise by between 2.5C and 3C over the next century. Periods of very cold weather would become less common, but heatwaves would become more common…

The report also said that new studies had confirmed the effects of increased exposure to ultra-violet light. “Skin cancers are expected to increase.”

On malaria, the report said there was a very slight chance that the disease could return to the south of England during the next 50 to 100 years. But outbreaks were likely to be rare and to involve a small number of people.

However, health authorities would have to be on the alert for the emergence of new, more deadly strains of mosquitoes in Europe and the possibility that they could arrive in wetland areas of Britain.

Warmer summers would also lead to an increase in food poisoning. The report predicted that there would be up to 14,000 more cases of food poisoning, including salmonella, a year – an increase of 14.5%.

Tick-borne diseases such as Lyme disease were also likely to become more common, but that was more likely to be due to changes in land use than climate change.

Professor Robert Maynard, chairman of the expert panel that wrote the report, said: “Climate change is likely to be one of the major challenges that humanity faces this century. It is important that we assess the possible health impact and take any actions that could minimise the consequences.” …

In a foreward to the report, health minister Dawn Primarolo said the national health service would have to adapt to deal with the problems posed by climate change.

Measures would include: ensuring that hospitals were equipped to deal with the effects of heat, gales, and floods; developing local plans for heatwaves, gales and flooding; disaster preparation; and advising people how to adapt to climate change.

Hysteria is amusing, until somebody gets hurt. Or taxed.

Without preventative action, the report said that a nine-day heatwave, with temperatures averaging at least 27 degrees over 24 hours, would cause 3,000 immediate deaths, with another 3,350 people dying from heat-related conditions during the summer.

27 degrees Celsius is all of 80.6 degree Fahrenheit.

Moreover, one wonders how many people currently die of “exposure” in the UK each year? It is probably quite a few.

That number almost certainly more than who may die of heat prostration or malaria if the average temperature goes up a couple of degrees over the next hundred years.

It predicted that there would be an increase in skin cancers due to increased exposure to sunlight…

Why isn’t it just as likely that if the temperature goes up more people will avoid the sun — even mad dogs and Englishmen?

Anyway, lest we forget, the Vikings somehow managed to survive living on Greenland when it was warm enough to grow grapes.

By the way, the Eggborough power station featured in the photograph accompanying the article is the only coal-fired power station owned by British Energy.

All of their other power stations are environmentally friendly, non-carbon emitting nuclear power plants.

With enough nuclear power everyone could run their air conditioners all day long.

After all, Margaret Thatcher’s cabinet invented the concept of global warming to sell nuclear power to the British public after a series of devastating coal strikes.

 Update!

From BBC News:

Global warming ‘may cut deaths’

12 February 2008

The risk of a fatal heatwave in the UK within ten years is high, but overall global warming may mean fewer deaths due to temperature, a report says.

A seriously hot summer between now and 2017 could claim more than 6,000 lives, the Department of Health report warns.

But it also stresses that milder winters mean deaths during this time of year - which far outstrip heat-related mortality - will continue to decline.

The report is to help health services prepare for climate change effects.

A panel of scientific experts commissioned by the Department of Health and Health Protection Agency (HPA) has looked at the way the UK has responded to rising temperatures since the 1970s, and how the risks are likely to change.

While summers in the UK became warmer in the period 1971 - 2003, there was no change in heat-related deaths, but annual cold-related mortality fell by 3% as winters became milder - so overall fewer people died as a result of extreme temperatures

Gee, how prescient we are.

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10 Responses to “Global Warming ‘Will Kill Thousands’ In UK”

  1. BillK

    Hold on a minute.

    I thought environmentalists were for zero population growth or a reduction in human population.

    So by this token, wouldn’t the deaths “caused by global warming” be a net good thing for Gaia?

  2. low profile

    Don’t forget that you can have it both ways when you believe in Global Warming–believe that human activities have changed a stable and unchanging climate and that if you only “control” human activities (and butcher billions of humans) you can somehow make Earth a shirt-sleeve paradise for snowboarding.

    Minnisota, for example, just posted -40 degree record temperatures. Never mind that snow melts at temperatures lower than 68 degrees… belived in Global Warming and you can have it all!

  3. Erik Baker

    “However, health authorities would have to be on the alert for the emergence of new, more deadly strains of mosquitoes in Europe and the possibility that they could arrive in wetland areas of Britain.”

    Oh? I wasn’t aware that were any deadly mosquitoes. Let alone a more deadly strain. Last I checked it was diseases that killed people, not mosquitoes. Though perhaps I missed that Animal Planet documentary featuring the ravaging swarms of killer mosquitoes that will drain a half-ton bull dry in under 30 seconds. Who knows.

    These people really need to get their science straight. Oh wait, it’s global warming related. Science doesn’t apply. My bad.

  4. GuppyNblue

    “latest modelling now suggested that temperatures would rise by between 2.5C and 3C”

    Computer models work with parameters programmed by people. I won’t get into whether we should trust these people or question their motivation here. But nature is very complex with interrelationships that seem endless to our powers of comprehension. Many cause and effects are so subtle and elusive that decades of research still have produced only limited understanding. I’m not trying to push some “butterfly effect” theory but only to demonstrate how ridiculous some of the GW alarmists are with these long range predictions that they base on computer models. And then to claim their evidence is conclusive makes a mockery of real, honest science. I would argue that no man made model could possibly be an accurate replica of nature.

    Last December the WAPO reported that the Chesapeake Bay Program (working for the EPA) had been “overstating its progress” in cleaning up the Bay. The U.S. Government Accountability Office made the same finding in 2005. Over $3 billion has already been spent on this effort that has a deadline in 2010.
    A professor at the U.S. Naval Academy stated, “They’ve been spinning the data for so long that they’ve forgotten that they’re spinning.” What was their excuse given? Faulty computer models. The data was too limited for accurate projections. Huh?
    AGW is not conclusive and there’s no consensus that it is. What motivates these thieves is another story. For the WAPO article go here:
    http://www.washingtonpost.com/.....02352.html

  5. Reality Bytes

    Aye Laddie. Something the Irish & Scots were tryin’ to do for Centuries…I wonder if Al Gore will take credit for it next time he visits the Emerald Isle.

  6. DEZ

    Ah, When I was a lad, It was global cooling, The whole world was gonna be one big deep freeze.
    Panic was all the rage, and half the public bought into it and wasted millions of dollars and countless hours of time fretting about how they were going to keep a sauna in an igloo.
    30 some years pass and its time to sweat out global warming.

  7. 1republicanscientist

    Damnit, the sky is falling again. What kind of weather do they want? Was the dust bowl due to global warming? No, that happened around the time GWB was born, that’s got to be the reason.

  8. DGA

    Whatever these enviromentalist whack jobs can do to destroy industry is ok by them. Gee, it isn’t working, let’s really scare the bejeezus out of them by throwing all kinds of distorted logic and faulty science at them, that should do it. And you just know that this garbage is pumped into young kids at their govt. schools daily. What a wreck this world would be if the greenies got their way with everything they ever wanted. Keep going like this, they might just actually get it.

  9. SG

    Just a note to point out the update to the original article.

  10. GuppyNblue

    Hey, the BBC gets the big Dah! award of the year. In my work and hobbies it’s been obvious that change is the only constant when it comes to the earths’ climate. It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to figure out that it’s easier to live in Tahiti than the North Pole.


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