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Large Scale Al Qaeda Attack Within 6 Mos

From a suddenly concerned New York Times:

Intelligence officials appearing Tuesday before a Senate panel: Leon E. Panetta, the C.I.A. director, second from left; Dennis C. Blair, the director of national intelligence, center; and Robert S. Mueller III, the F.B.I. director, second from right.

Senators Warned of Terror Attack on U.S. by July


February 3, 2010

WASHINGTON — America’s top intelligence official told lawmakers on Tuesday that Al Qaeda and its affiliates had made it a high priority to attempt a large-scale attack on American soil within the next six months.

The assessment by Dennis C. Blair, the director of national intelligence, was much starker than his view last year, when he emphasized the considerable progress in the campaign to debilitate Al Qaeda and said that the global economic meltdown, rather than the prospect of a major terrorist attack, was the “primary near-term security concern of the United States.”

At Tuesday’s hearing, Senator Dianne Feinstein, Democrat of California and chairwoman of the Senate Intelligence Committee, asked Mr. Blair to assess the possibility of an attempted attack in the United States in the next three to six months.

He replied, “The priority is certain, I would say” — a response that was reaffirmed by the top officials of the C.I.A. and the F.B.I.

Citing a recent wave of terrorist plots, including the failed Dec. 25 attempt to blow up an airliner as it approached Detroit, Mr. Blair and other intelligence officials told a Senate panel that Al Qaeda had adjusted its tactics to more effectively strike American targets domestically and abroad.

“The biggest threat is not so much that we face an attack like 9/11,” said Leon E. Panetta, the C.I.A. director. “It is that Al Qaeda is adapting its methods in ways that oftentimes make it difficult to detect.”

And yet the selfsame New York Times reassured us back in September that the US faces no real risk of terrorist attacks:

Rethinking Our Terrorist Fears


September 27, 2009

WASHINGTON — Eight years after 9/11, the specter of terrorism still haunts the United States. Just last week, F.B.I. agents were working double time to unravel the alarming case of a Denver airport shuttle driver accused of training with explosives in Pakistan and buying bomb-making chemicals. In Dallas, a young Jordanian was charged with trying to blow up a skyscraper; in Springfield, Ill., a prison parolee was arrested for trying to attack the local federal building

But important as they were, those news reports masked a surprising and perhaps heartening long-term trend: Many students of terrorism believe that in important ways, Al Qaeda and its ideology of global jihad are in a pronounced decline — with its central leadership thrown off balance as operatives are increasingly picked off by missiles and manhunts and, more important, with its tactics discredited in public opinion across the Muslim world…

Marc Sageman, a former C.I.A. officer and forensic psychiatrist, counted 10 serious plots with Western targets, successful and unsuccessful, that could be linked to Al Qaeda or its allies in 2004, a peak he believes was motivated by the American-led invasion of Iraq the year before. In 2008, he said, there were just three…

“I said two years ago it was a diminishing problem, and everything I’ve seen since then has confirmed it,” Dr. Sageman said of what counterterrorism specialists call Al Qaeda Central…

Dr. Sageman said the United States should approach the threat not with hysteria, but with a careful analysis of the motives and patterns of people drawn into violent plotting…

Al Qaeda has no entirely safe haven today, and the Afghanistan debate is over how to keep it that way. And if the arrest of Mr. Zazi sent a shudder through many Americans, it’s worth remembering that it came before any bombs went off.

In the final analysis, there probably isn’t all that much that is really new in yesterday’s warnings.

Except that when we got such reports during the Bush administration, we were told by our media masters that Mr. Bush was using the (unfounded) threat of terrorism to scare and distract us.

Now, under Obama, our media no longer calls these warnings a “distraction.”

It’s weird, isn’t it?

This article was posted by Steve on Wednesday, February 3rd, 2010. Comments are currently closed.

16 Responses to “Large Scale Al Qaeda Attack Within 6 Mos”

  1. proreason says:

    Within 6 months. Wow. Sounds like it’s election season.

  2. Petronius says:

    Yes, there will be another attack.

    And next time it will be successful.

    And they will blame it all on Bush.

  3. AmericanIPA says:

    Obama administration responses:

    If we are hit in 6 months: “We warned the American people to be on the alert and did all we could, but the failed policies of the previous administration made it hard for us to get the proper intelligence to stop the attack.”

    If we are not hit in 6 months: “We are keeping the people safe”.

  4. tranquil.night says:

    What’s more scary – the realistic threat of nuclear Ahmadinejad, the realistic threat of nuclear Liberals using reconciliation for health care/budget, the realistic threat of increased localized terrorist attacks, or the extremely realistic threat that President Obama is more afraid of any of these threats than we are, only because of what it would mean for him if any of these came to pass?

  5. artboyusa says:

    “Marc Sageman, a former C.I.A. officer and forensic psychiatrist…” a forensic pyschiatrist? What the hell kind of job is that?

    “So, how long have you had these feelings of coldness, immobility and decay?”

    “Well Doc, I guess it all started after I died…”

    • JohnMG says:

      Necrophiliacs have emotional issues, too, artboy. I mean, who else would anyone seek out when that irresistable urge to “crack open a cold one” strikes?

    • artboyusa says:

      John’s right; I should be more sensitive to the legitimate aspirations of the Necro community. For too long have these pioneers in post-life sexuality been abused as “carcass bangers” and “coffin chasers”. I myself have witnessed police harassment of harmless Necros, who were innocently hanging around cemetery gates and funeral home parking lots studying the passing hearses with hopeful, expectant eyes. “Move on, creeps” snarled the cops, tapping their nightsticks ominously and snickering as the nervous Necros scuttled back into the shadows like startled raccoons. “Is this America?” I gasped in horror. “Something must be done!”

      Well, I was right, as usual. If we are ever to achieve real equality for all (and by “all” I definitely don’t just mean the so-called “normal” people but the so-called “weird”, “perverted” and “oddball” communities too) then we need a constitutional amendment guaranteeing Necros the same civil and legal rights enjoyed by “Norms”, including the right to enter into a loving marriage with a member of the Croaker community if they so choose. Say it loud and say it proud, brothers and sister –
      What do we want?
      When do we want them?

  6. BannedbytheTaliban says:

    Pre-emptive CYA

  7. Rusty Shackleford says:

    The difference is I take what A l Qaeda says rather seriously. Obama….not so much.

  8. BigOil says:

    Our intelligence professionals are really going out on a limb with this prediction.

    By my count, we’ve been attacked by radical muslims 3 times in the last 7 months. A soldier killed in Little Rock, the “soldier of Allah” murders at Fort Hood, and the panty bomber.

    One attack in the next 6 months would be an improvement.

    • JohnMG says:

      Makes one suspect that Joe Biden is now part of our intelligence community.

      Oh noooooooooooooooooooooo!!!!

  9. DoctorRock says:

    I don’t see why we can’t have a large-scale terrorist attack AND a global economic meltdown. Are they somehow mutually exclusive? I’ll bet our post-partisan, post-racial administration could even precipitate a general insurrection without even trying. They’re well educated you know.

  10. canary says:

    When former VP Cheney warned Obama, they attacked Cheney. What’s new is frequency since Obama took over. Ft. Hood, ya know “the incident” that Obama failed to give a moment to during his b.s. speech.

  11. Rip Cord says:

    I thought Obama said that we weren’t going to say that we are in War on Terror anymore. Which one is it? Like Rhaim Emmanual said, “What a bunch of F*ing Retards.”

  12. 12 Gauge Rage says:

    So let’s say hypothetically that we do get attacked in the manner that Al Qaeda has promised, what’s the current administration’s plan to go after these monsters? Or is there even a plan at all? Aside from the usual fist pounding rhetoric at the podium. George W. had his faults but his policy of pre-emptive strikes had it’s merits. It’s better to meet danger than to wait for it.

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