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NYT Poll: Obama Approval Rating Down Sharply

From a panicky New York Times:

Obama’s Rating Falls as Poll Reflects Volatility

By JIM RUTENBERG and MARJORIE CONNELLY
March 12, 2012

Despite improving job growth and an extended Republican primary fight dividing his would-be opponents, President Obama is heading into the general election season on treacherous political ground, according to the latest New York Times/CBS News poll.

At a time of rising gas prices, heightened talk of war with Iran and setbacks in Afghanistan, Mr. Obama’s approval rating dropped substantially in recent weeks, the poll found, with 41 percent of respondents expressing approval of the job he is doing and 47 percent saying they disapprove — a dangerous position for any incumbent seeking re-election.

The poll provides a statistical reminder of how unsettled and unpredictable this year’s political landscape remains. Just one month ago, Mr. Obama reached a critical benchmark by winning approval from 50 percent of Times/CBS News poll respondents, his re-election prospects lifting along with confidence that the nation was finally emerging from the aftermath of the Great Recession

We are now having to emerge from an aftermath? Believe it or not, there is almost always rapid and steep economic improvement after a recession. And, believe it or not, the ‘Great Recession’ was supposed to have ended in June 2009, almost three full years ago. We should be after the aftermath by now.

Americans are still expressing confidence that the economy is staying the same or getting better, with those who believe that outnumbering those who view the economy as getting worse by nearly three to one. (Then again, 75 percent view the nation’s financial picture as “fairly bad” or “very bad.”)

Just wait until these people catch on.

Mr. Obama appears to be retaining much of his gains among important demographic groups, erasing inroads that Republicans made in 2010, especially among women. But his falling approval rating in the last month extended to his handling of both the economy and foreign policy, the poll found. And his weakening position cut across all major demographic groups, even among those with which he has kept an edge over his Republican challengers: independents, moderates, college graduates and younger voters.

Sharp as the drop in Mr. Obama’s approval rating was in the Times/CBS News poll, it was not in isolation. The latest ABC News/Washington Post poll, released on Monday, also reported a drop in Mr. Obama’s overall approval rating, to 46 percent from 50 percent last month. The latest tracking poll from Gallup, also released Monday, showed Mr. Obama with an approval rating of 49 percent.

Yet, polls capture only a particular moment in time, and can be influenced by the way questions are asked or the mix of people who are surveyed. In The Times/CBS News poll, the margin of sampling error could mean the president’s approval rating is as high as 44 percent or as low as 38 percent, at a 95 percent confidence level

The decline in Mr. Obama’s approval rating has occurred as Americans are confronted by rising gas prices on filling station billboards and the evening news. Republican presidential candidates have sometimes tried to connect the price increases to the Obama administration’s approach to Iran.

Mr. Obama’s drop was particularly pronounced among low-income households that may be feeling the pinch of the higher gas prices — as well as increases in prices for groceries and some retail items — more than others.

Over all, 54 percent of poll respondents believed that a president can do a lot to control gas prices, as opposed to 36 percent who believe they are beyond a president’s control

It would be interesting to compare these numbers to what they were under President Bush, when we were endlessly told by the news media and the rest of the Democrat Party that high gas prices were all Bush’s fault.

In recent weeks, there has been much debate over the government’s role in guaranteeing insurance coverage for contraception, including for those who work for religious organizations. The poll found that women were split as to whether health insurance plans should cover the costs of birth control and whether employers with religious objections should be able to opt out.

Oops. So that gambit hasn’t worked, and it’s back to the drawing board for Team Obama.

This article was posted by Steve Gilbert on Tuesday, March 13th, 2012. Comments are currently closed.

5 Responses to “NYT Poll: Obama Approval Rating Down Sharply”

  1. tranquil.night

    “Have you ever seen a publication apologize so much for a poll? They practically seem to be promising that they will do better next time.”

    This is all the more hilarious with the desperate silver lining they attempt to find with independents in the next article Steve posted.

  2. Petronius

    41 percent? What a sorry comment on the state of the American electorate.

    41 percent. How can there possibly be that many idiots in the American idiocracy? Does this represent the line-in-the-sand drawn between taxpayers and tax-eaters?

    Seriously. How many full-bore, 12-gauge Marxist ideologues? How many wacko professors and brain-washed students? How many brain-dead zombies? How many demented old weepies? How many union goons and freaked-out Occupiers? How many LGBTs and gimme-gimme Sandra Flukes? How many welfare queens, immigrants (documented and undocumented), and pee-in-the-pants soccer moms?

    I appreciate that the media protects him, covers for him, carries his water. But still, you have got to wonder. 41 percent.

    Liberal ideology is tailor-made for the lazy. It saves them the trouble of thinking. No need to confront a sometimes unpleasant reality when you can take comfort in ideology.

    “It is good for politicians that men don’t think.” (Attributed to Adolph Hitler.)

    41 percent. Americans have lost the will to live. They have inhaled the Liberal Death Wish and become addicted to it.

    Then there is this gem from the (London) Daily Mail : Scientific researchers have determined that voters “simply lack the mental tools” to make smart decisions.

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/new.....ad-us.html

    Which begs the question –– even so, even without the mental tools, how can they possibly be THAT stupid?

  3. P. Aaron

    Obama looked good until it came time to actually solve problems & stuff.

  4. Being Andrew Breithart. An excellent article on the person who brought us “The Truth”!

    http://constitutionalwrites.co.....breitbart/

  5. JohnMG

    …..”Americans are still expressing confidence that the economy is staying the same…..”

    Huh? WTF?!

    Someone please explain this bit of inanity to me. The only way I’d prefer the economy to remain as it is would be if it were to become more dismal than at present.

    Homeowner to fireman on the scene: I feel confident that my home will continue to burn to the ground.

    Yes, Petronius, 41% ARE that stupid!




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