« | »

NYT/CBS Poll: Now Romney Leads Obama By 2%

From the New York Times:

Economic Fears Hurting Obama, Poll Indicates

By JIM RUTENBERG and MARJORIE CONNELLY | Wednesday, July 18, 2012

Declining confidence in the nation’s economic prospects appears to be the most powerful force influencing voters as the presidential election gears up, undercutting key areas of support for President Obama and helping give his Republican challenger, Mitt Romney, an advantage on the question of who would better handle the nation’s economic challenges, according to the latest New York Times/CBS News Poll.

Despite months of negative advertising from Mr. Obama and his Democratic allies seeking to further define Mr. Romney as out of touch with the middle class and representative of wealthy interests, the poll shows little evidence of any substantial nationwide shift in attitudes about Mr. Romney…

The new poll shows that the race remains essentially tied, notwithstanding all of the Washington chatter suggesting that Mr. Romney’s campaign has seemed off-kilter amid attacks on his tenure at Bain Capital and his unwillingness to release more of his tax returns. Forty-five percent say they would vote for Mr. Romney if the election were held now and 43 percent say they would vote for Mr. Obama.

So Romney is really up by 2 percent.

When undecided voters who lean toward a particular candidate are included, Mr. Romney has 47 percent to Mr. Obama’s 46 percent.

They have to cook their own poll to cut Romney’s lead in half.

Both results are within the poll’s margin of sampling error of plus or minus three percentage points. But it is the first time Mr. Romney has shown a numeric edge in the Times/CBS poll since he emerged from the primaries as the presumptive nominee. Mr. Obama had a three-point advantage in March. The two were each favored by 46 percent in April…

[T]he Times/CBS poll… underscores a national trendline in which the economy remains the dominant force in the campaign, regardless of outside events like the Supreme Court ruling on Mr. Obama’s health care law or the daily sticks-and-stones of the trail…

Six in 10 voters surveyed said Mr. Romney’s experience at Bain would not affect their vote, though other polls in swing states have indicated that the ads are influencing perceptions about his business experience

The Times is undercutting their own poll.

The drop in Mr. Obama’s economic approval ratings is consistent with a downturn in the percentage of Americans who believe the economy is getting better. While 33 percent said they saw improvement in April, 24 percent say they do now.

Nearly half of voters say the current economic plight stems from the policies of Mr. Obama’s predecessor, George W. Bush, which most voters expect Mr. Romney would return to.

The media and the rest of the Obama campaign clearly have their work cut out for them.

Meanwhile, here is the CBS News article on the same poll:

Obama, Romney in dead heat in presidential race

By Brian Montopoli | Wednesday, July 18, 2012

(CBS News) President Obama and Mitt Romney are effectively tied in the race for the presidency, according to a new CBS News/New York Times survey.

Forty-seven percent of registered voters nationwide who lean towards a candidate back Romney, while 46 percent support the president. Four percent are undecided. The one percentage point difference is within the survey’s three point margin of error

If Obama had just gone ahead by one point, you can bet the headline would not be that the two candidates are in a “dead heat.” We also would not be hearing about the margin of error in the first paragraphs.

Republicans are more enthusiastic than Democrats when it comes to voting in this electionRoughly half of Republicans say they are more enthusiastic compared to past elections – up from 36 percent in March – while just 27 percent of Democrats say they same

Notice how this flies in the face of everything we have been hearing of late. But we really have Mr. Obama’s own words and deeds to thank for ginning up Republican enthusiasm. He hope he keeps it up.

Fifty-four percent of registered voters cite the economy and jobs as "extremely" important in their presidential vote, more than any other issue. Here Romney has the edge: 49 percent of registered voters say he would do a better job handling the economy and jobs, while 41 percent cite Mr. Obama

Which is why the news media and their bosses at the Obama campaign are doing everything they can to distraction us from the economy.

Romney is also seen as better on the federal budget deficit (50 percent to 36 percent), taxes (47 percent to 42 percent) and illegal immigration (46 percent to 38 percent).

How unfair. And only because Obama has tripled the deficit, given us the biggest tax increase in history and has just done a backdoor amnesty.

Mr. Obama as seen as better on foreign policy (47 percent to 40 percent) and social issues (48 percent to 37 percent)

Yes, just look at how much better off things are all around the world under Obama.

Only 28 percent believe Mr. Obama has fulfilled his promise to deliver positive change for the country. Fifty-eight percent say he has not delivered change, while seven percent say he has delivered change that has been bad for the country.

Only seven percent? That is staggeringly low.

Mr. Obama’s overall approval rating stands at 44 percent, with 46 percent disapproving. His approval rating on the economy is just 39 percent – 55 percent disapprove – and his approval rating on foreign policy is 41 percent. His approval rating on the economy has dropped five points since April…

Note that Obama’s approval rating on foreign policy is three points lower than his overall (low) approval rating. And yet we are told that he polls better than Romney on foreign policy.

Seven in ten Americans say the economy is in bad shape. While 24 percent say it is getting better – down from 33 percent in April – 30 percent say it is getting worse. That marks the highest percentage who say the economy is getting worse since December.

All of this despite the news media’s non-stop efforts to convince us otherwise.

Two in five Americans say they are very concerned someone in their household will lose their job.

We suspect Michelle Obama might also have that concern.

This article was posted by Steve on Thursday, July 19th, 2012. Comments are currently closed.

3 Responses to “NYT/CBS Poll: Now Romney Leads Obama By 2%”

  1. Right of the People says:

    And this poll was taken at an Ohole fund-raiser too. Imagine if the included Republicans and Independents.

  2. GetBackJack says:


    That means it’s more like 17%

  3. wirenut says:

    WHAT? The fabricated empty suit is trailing in the polls, Racist’s. If I was sitting in a room full of clowns, Barry would
    be the uninvited one in the corner. Properly named, Obnoxious.

« Front Page | To Top
« | »