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NYT/Quin/CBS Poll Oversamples Dems By 11%

From the vote suppressing New York Times:

Polls Show Obama Is Widening His Lead in Ohio and Florida

By JIM RUTENBERG and JEFF ZELENY | September 26, 2012

COLUMBUS, Ohio — For weeks, Republicans in Ohio have been watching with worry that the state’s vital 18 electoral votes were trending away from Mitt Romney. The anxiety has been similar in Florida, where Republicans are concerned that President Obama is gaining the upper hand in the fight for the state’s 29 electoral votes.

Those fears are affirmed in the findings of the latest Quinnipiac University/New York Times/CBS News polls of likely voters in both states, which show that Mr. Obama has widened his lead over Mr. Romney and is outperforming him on nearly every major campaign issue, even though about half said they were disappointed in Mr. Obama’s presidency.

The polls, along with interviews with supporters and advisers in the nation’s two largest battleground states, lay bare an increasingly urgent challenge facing Mr. Romney as he prepares for his next chance to move the race in his favor, at the first debate with Mr. Obama next week. Mr. Romney’s burden is no longer to win over undecided voters, but also to woo back the voters who seem to be growing a little comfortable with the idea of a second term for Mr. Obama…

In other words, it’s over for Romney. Again. The mainstream media’s efforts to suppress the vote is really getting tiresome. Where is Eric Holder?

The New York Times, in collaboration with Quinnipiac University and CBS News, is tracking the presidential race with recurring polls in six states. In Ohio — which no Republican has won the presidency without — Mr. Obama is leading Mr. Romney 53 percent to 43 percent in the poll. In Florida, the president leads Mr. Romney 53 to 44 percent in the poll.

The surveys, which had margins of sampling error of plus or minus three percentage points for each candidate, also included a Pennsylvania poll, where Mr. Obama is leading Mr. Romney by 12 percentage points.

The polls were conducted as the Romney campaign grappled with fallout last week from the release of his tax returns and remarks he made at a fund-raiser in which he bluntly suggested that 47 percent of Americans saw themselves as victims who are dependent on the government. That was the latest in a string of setbacks for the campaign that appears to be sapping the optimism of some of his supporters…

Needless to say the shameless toadies at the New York Times and Quinnipiac oversampled Democrats to get the results they sought.

According to their own data, in Florida they oversampled Democrats by 7% (Dem/Rep/Ind = 43/36/1%.) And in Pennsylvania they oversampled Democrats by a whopping 11% (Dem/Rep/Ind = 48/37/1%.)

In Ohio they claims the party affiliation was ‘NA’ meaning we suppose, ‘not available.’ Which is pretty suspicious, if not outright laughable.

Well, one outfit is correcting for such party affiliation: UnSkewed Poll.com. UnSkewed posts a compilation of other national polls. — But it removes the news media’s oversampling to reflect party affiliation according to Rasmussen. And by their measure, Romney is up nationally by 7.8%.

So all is not lost. Despite what the New York Times and the rest of the Obama campaign would have you believe.

This article was posted by Steve on Wednesday, September 26th, 2012. Comments are currently closed.

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