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Obama Up 1% In Poll With 6% More Dems

From the Washington Post:

Among likely voters, Obama-Romney close

By Dan Balz and Jon Cohen, Tuesday Sept 11, 2012

Last week’s Democratic National Convention helped President Obama improve his standing against Republican Mitt Romney, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll, but did little to reduce voter concern about his handling of the economy.

The survey shows that the race remains close among likely voters, with Obama at 49 percent and Romney at 48 percent, virtually unchanged from a poll taken just before the conventions.

So there was no bounce. Even though we were told as recently as yesterday that the convention bounce gave Obama the election. It was all over but the shouting.

By the way, this Washington Post poll of ‘likely voters’ oversamples Democrats by an absurd 6%. (Dem/Rep/Ind — 33/27/36%.) When every poll shows the Republicans with much higher voter enthusiasm. So, in reality, the news is even better for Romney.

But among a wider sample of all registered voters, Obama holds an apparent edge, topping Romney at 50 percent to 44 percent, and has clear advantages on important issues in the campaign when compared with his rival…

Nice try. But for their ‘ registered voters’ this poll oversamples Democrats by a ridiculous 9%. (Dem/Rep/Ind — 32/23/27%)

By the way, their oversampling for ‘all adults’ is even more preposterous 10%. (Dem/Rep/Ind — 33/23/37%.)

Historically, candidates often get an immediate post-convention boost, with some of the shift dissipating quickly. Obama has a six-point edge among all voters based on interviews Friday, the day after the Democratic convention wrapped up. In interviews Saturday and Sunday, the two were about evenly matched among registered voters.

Gee, we didn’t hear about how ephemeral these convention bounces were yesterday, when we were told it was all over.

Obama’s relative strength emerges when all voters are asked to compare the two contenders on a series of issues and attributes. On 15 items, Obama has significant leads on eight, Romney on zero.

And we are supposed to believe this, even when they oversampled Democrats by 10%?

Romney also no longer has the pre-convention advantages he held on dealing with the economy and what had been his best issue, handling the federal deficit.

The president holds double-digit leads in areas of particular focus at his party’s convention, including addressing women’s issues (Obama leads Romney by 21 percentage points), advancing the interests of the middle class (15 points), and social issues such as abortion and same-sex marriage (11 points). Obama also has a fresh, albeit slender, lead on dealing with taxes…

Sorry, we just aren’t buying it. The country has not completely lost its senses.

Three new questions emphasize the president’s advantage over Romney when it comes to personal attributes. By a margin of nearly 20 points, voters are more apt to say they would like to have Obama as a dinner guest, and the president also leads by double digits as the person voters would want to take care of them if they were sick and who they say would make a more loyal friend…

What idiotic questions.

But notice that even with these supposed leads of 20%, Obama and Romney are essentially tied, even when Democrats are oversampled. So there is quite a disconnect here between likeability and voting for someone.

This article was posted by Steve on Tuesday, September 11th, 2012. Comments are currently closed.

3 Responses to “Obama Up 1% In Poll With 6% More Dems”

  1. dasher says:

    One can only wish hope and pray that the lesser-motivated Democratic voter will look at these headlines and think “well, it’s in the bag, I’ll sleep in and not worry about it”.

    Fingers crossed…


    • Right of the People says:

      Unless they sweeten the pot for the average Dem voter, more free cigarettes and booze, most of them won’t leave their refrigerator boxes to go to the polls. It’s probably going to take cold, hard cash to get out the vote this time and the O-hole’s minions are lagging far behind this year.

      Plus all the misguided utes that voted for him last time are out of college now and unemployed with huge student loans and few if any job prospects. No bounce there.

    • beautyofreason says:

      “…are out of college now and unemployed with huge student loans and few if any job prospects. No bounce there.”

      Ding ding, RotP.

      I’m hoping some of my fellow students will take note.

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