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Poll Shows Baker, Patrick Neck And Neck

From a deeply saddened Boston Globe:

Baker catches Patrick in new poll

By Frank Phillips and Michael Levenson, Globe Staff  |  September 26, 2010

With just five weeks to the election, Republican Charles D. Baker has pulled even with Governor Deval Patrick in a gubernatorial race shaped by anti-incumbent sentiment and unusually high excitement among Republican voters, according to a new Boston Globe poll.

And, boy, must the Globe be furious.

The poll results also suggest that independent Timothy P. Cahill is pulling voters equally from Baker and Patrick, raising questions about the conventional political thinking that his candidacy is undercutting Baker’s chance to defeat the governor in the Nov. 2 election

Why would that be the "conventional thinking"? Mr. Cahill is a Democrat.

Patrick has lost ground to Baker since the Globe last surveyed voters in June, when the governor led his Republican challenger, 38 to 31 percent…

The poll indicates that voter turnout on Election Day will be key. The current trend favors Baker, because Republicans are much more enthusiastic about the election than Democrats. Some 78 percent of likely GOP voters say they are excited about the race, compared with only 37 percent of likely Democratic voters. Among the subset of 245 voters surveyed who said they were excited about the race, Baker beat Patrick, 52 to 25 percent…

A Tea Party tide will raise all conservative boats – even in Massachusetts.  

One potential drag on Baker, who has adopted an angry tone in his appeals to disgruntled voters, is his likability. Not even a majority of Baker’s own supporters — just 44 percent — identified him as the most likable candidate, compared with 71 percent of Patrick’s supporters who identified the governor as the most likeable

Patrick’s likability could help swing voters open to changing their minds. Thomas R. Collaro, an investigator with the federal Department of Agriculture, said he is leaning toward Baker but his second choice is Patrick. He said he does not agree with Patrick on education and feels the sales tax increase, signed by the governor last year, was “a bit too much.’’

This has always been David Axelrod’s modus operandi. He creates a likeable candidate from an empty suit. He then hopes the voters don’t notice that their elected representatives are governing entirely against their wishes.

However, this tactic doesn’t seem to be working out too well for Mr. Obama at the moment. Hopefully the voters of Massachusetts won’t continue to be fooled, either.

Though that is quite a tall hope.

This article was posted by Steve on Sunday, September 26th, 2010. Comments are currently closed.

2 Responses to “Poll Shows Baker, Patrick Neck And Neck”

  1. proreason says:

    I think there is a chance that Patrick is another one of Axelrod’s manchurians. They wouldn’t have put all of their eggs in the Obamy basket.

    From his wiki biography (which has probably been severely altered to put it in the best possible light), he comes from a troubled family, was plucked early in life to attend an elite private school and then Harvard. Then he joined the UN (gosh, really), and returned to collect the obligatory Harvard law credential (quel supris!).

    Then, there are 12 missing years from his history, after which he pops up in the Clinton administration. In wiki, there is no mention of him ever having a real job or done real work of any kind. He appears to have been a civil rights agitator his entire life, and also has the great good fortune of having a daughter who is a self-declared lesbian (which would make him about 1 in 1000 for African America fathers).

    It’s not quite as good as a multi-racial, multi-ethnic, multi-national, multi-religious, multi-sexual manchurian, but then again, Obamy is president and Patrick is just a governor.


  2. artboyusa says:

    My idiot cousin is a Deval fan, largely because he keeps hoping Deval will give him a job, and is working for his campaign. I’m no fan at all, unsurprisingly. I don’t find him “likeable” at all and and any day now the absentee ballot will arrive and I can vote against that sales tax-increasing nimrod and wave him bye bye come January.

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