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PPP Polls: Romney Is Gaining In OH, Tied In NC

From Public Policy Polling:


Obama up 4 in Ohio

Sun September 30, 2012

PPP’s newest poll of the Presidential race in Ohio finds Barack Obama leading Mitt Romney 49-45, down just slightly from a 50-45 advantage on our last independent poll there three weeks ago.

It’s a mistake to think based on recent polling in Ohio that the race there is over. Obama is not popular in the state, with 48% of voters approving of him to 49% who disapprove. Among voters who remain undecided there just 13% think he’s doing a good job to 65% who give him poor marks…

Obama is only ahead by 4% in a Democrat poll in which PPP oversampled Democrats by 5%. (Dem/Rep/Ind = 41/36/23%)

Meanwhile, we also have this from Public Policy Polling:

Dead even in North Carolina

Sun September 30, 2012

In 2008 North Carolina was the second closest state in the Presidential race. It looks more and more like it could be the closest this year. PPP’s newest poll finds Barack Obama and Mitt Romney dead even at 48%. In 3 September PPP polls of the state we found a tie twice and a one point Obama lead the third time. Taking a bigger picture look, in 26 Obama/Romney polls dating back to November of 2010 we have only found the candidates separated by more than 3 points one time. It would be hard for the race in North Carolina to be much tighter.

North Carolinians narrowly disapprove of Obama, with 48% giving him good marks to 49% who are unhappy with his performance. They also have a narrowly unfavorable opinion of Romney with 46% of voters rating him positively to 49% with a negative opinion…

Democrats have a significant registration advantage in the state but Romney is overcoming that thanks to a 54-36 lead with independents.

The race in North Carolina started out as a toss up 2 years ago and it remains a toss up today. It’s impossible to say who will end up coming out ahead.

So even the Democrats’ pet polling outfit says Obama and Romney are dead even in North Carolina even though they oversampled Democrats by a whopping 14%! (Dem/Rep/Ind = 48/34/19%)

Meanwhile, Rasmussen is reporting that Obama has 42% and Romney 43% of people who have made up their minds. The ‘certain vote.’

From Rasmussen Reports:

Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

Sunday, September 30, 2012

Currently, 43% of voters are “certain” they will vote for Romney. Forty-two percent (42%) are that certain they will vote for Obama. The remaining 15% are either uncommitted or open to changing their mind. To many Americans, especially partisan activists, it is hard to imagine how someone could be anything but certain at this point in time. One of the distinguishing features of these potentially persuadable voters is that they don’t see the choice between Romney and Obama as terribly significant. In terms of impacting their own life, just 28% say it will be Very Important which man wins.

There is particular pessimism among these persuadable voters about the economy. Only 14% think it will get better if the president is reelected. But just 28% believe it will improve with a Romney victory…

Let’s hope Mr. Romney and reality can convince the other 15%.

This article was posted by Steve Gilbert on Monday, October 1st, 2012. Comments are currently closed.

One Response to “PPP Polls: Romney Is Gaining In OH, Tied In NC”

  1. GetBackJack

    Is that headline “Obama Is Dead Even In North Carolina?”


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