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Predictions Off, Arctic Ice Cap Grew 60% This Year

From the UK’s Daily Mail:

And now it’s global COOLING! Record return of Arctic ice cap as it grows by 60% in a year

By David Rose | 7 September 2013

A chilly Arctic summer has left nearly a million more square miles of ocean covered with ice than at the same time last year – an increase of 60 per cent.

The rebound from 2012’s record low comes six years after the BBC reported that global warming would leave the Arctic ice-free in summer by 2013.

Instead, days before the annual autumn re-freeze is due to begin, an unbroken ice sheet more than half the size of Europe already stretches from the Canadian islands to Russia’s northern shores…

Some eminent scientists now believe the world is heading for a period of cooling that will not end until the middle of this century – a process that would expose computer forecasts of imminent catastrophic warming as dangerously misleading…

Only six years ago, the BBC reported that the Arctic would be ice-free in summer by 2013, citing a scientist in the US who claimed this was a ‘conservative’ forecast…

The BBC’s 2007 report quoted scientist  Professor Wieslaw Maslowski, who based his views on super-computer models and the fact that ‘we use a high-resolution regional model for the Arctic Ocean and sea ice’.

He was confident his results were ‘much more realistic’ than other projections, which ‘underestimate the amount of heat delivered to the sea ice’. Also quoted was Cambridge University expert Professor Peter Wadhams. He backed Professor Maslowski, saying his model was ‘more efficient’ than others because it ‘takes account of processes that happen internally in the ice’.

He added: ‘This is not a cycle; not just a fluctuation. In the end, it will all just melt away quite suddenly.’ …

Professor Anastasios Tsonis, of the University of Wisconsin, was one of the first to investigate the ocean cycles. He said: ‘We are already in a cooling trend, which I think will continue for the next 15 years at least. There is no doubt the warming of the 1980s and 1990s has stopped.

‘The IPCC claims its models show a pause of 15 years can be expected. But that means that after only a very few years more, they will have to admit they are wrong.’

Others are more cautious. Dr Ed Hawkins, of Reading University, drew the graph published by The Mail on Sunday in March showing how far world temperatures have diverged from computer predictions. He admitted the cycles may have caused some of the recorded warming, but insisted that natural variability alone could not explain all of the temperature rise over the past 150 years.

Nonetheless, the belief that summer Arctic ice is about to disappear remains an IPCC tenet, frequently flung in the face of critics who point to the pause.

Yet there is mounting evidence that Arctic ice levels are cyclical. Data uncovered by climate historians show that there was a massive melt in the 1920s and 1930s, followed by intense re-freezes that ended only in 1979 – the year the IPCC says that shrinking began…

We are still waiting to hear the global warmists explain the last Ice Age. Or any Ice Age and subsequent thawing.

This article was posted by Steve Gilbert on Monday, September 9th, 2013. Comments are currently closed.

10 Responses to “Predictions Off, Arctic Ice Cap Grew 60% This Year”

  1. I keep forgetting, weren’t we supposed to be under water by now? Aren’t all the fish in the sea supposed to be dead by now? Aren’t we all supposed to be starving to death by now? With all the cow farts floating around out there, the entire earth should be one big smoking crater by now… according to every lefty climate change whacko out there. Of course it’s difficult to keep the predictions straight because they change from day to day. Even the reasons for our ultimate demise can’t be totally nailed down. Is it warming, or cooling. Is it raining too much. Is it not raining enough. There are way too many storms. There are not enough storms. Thunder. Lightning. SMOG!!!

    How wrong do you have to be for the masses to stop believing? Follow the money, read the history, and let’s put Algore in prison for the greatest rip off of all time.

  2. captstubby

    from the same Experts in the Science Community that gave us Psychiatry , Economics, Sociology, Dark Matter, Dark Energy, Parallel Universe’s,and the best one,

    “Punctuated Equilibrium is a theory about how the evolutionary process works, based on patterns of first appearances and subsequent histories of species in the fossil record. The theory holds that species originate too rapidly to enable their origins to be traced by paleontologists (punctuation), and then persist unchanged through geological time in stasis (equilibrium). All is due to a mysterious shared homeostasis that is postulated to regulate the collective morphology of individuals. ”

    got that?

    so, tiring of constantly switching books out on my reference shelf,

    i simply placed a collection of old pulp sci-fi story’s from the 20’s and 30’s.

    more believable.

    • And they call us anti-science. We aren’t the ones making a mockery of a once proud, reliable and noble profession. Evolution was the first lie and all the others were made up to cover the gaps where the the theory or evolution was so obviosly wrong. They can’t allow themselves to admit there is a Creator or to being wrong so they just continue to lie in all the other fields of science in order to prop up the first lie.

      The scientist who discovered pliable viens and blood cells in supposedly 65 million year old dinosaur bones has had her life threatened because it doesn’t fit and they can’t explain that away.

      The first time I heard a scientist explaining ‘Punctuated Equilibrium’, I laughed so loud I woke up my aging mother asleep in the next room. What a joke!

      Watch this 30min documentary called Evolution vs. God.
      They interview scientist and others about evolution and asked them for proof. No suprise, no one can give of any. It’s eye opening as to what people will believe. Just because someone the media claims someone is respectable and smart tell you some BS doesn’t make it true. I just makes them all liars.

  3. Right of the People

    But it’s not “Global Warming” anymore because that term was no longer sustainable, now it’s “Climate Change”.

    I told a couple of libtards the other day the climate changes all the time, they’re called the four seasons and first got blank stares of anger then I was told I was a f**king idiot. I asked these retards how they can explain the fact that there hasn’t been any warming in almost ten years that in fact the average temps were cooling and they told me that was just voodoo science!

    As Bugs Bunny used to say, “What a couple of maroons.”

    • Just ask them why Mars’ ice caps were melting, Or why every planet in our solar system was rising in temperature faster and higher than Earth? There are no coal fired plants or SUV’s on those planets. Many scientist believe that it’s the CO2 and pollution in our atmosphere that prevented even greater warming than there was.

      All this ended when the 11 year cycle of the solar maximum ended in 1997 and solar minimum began. The latest solar maximum that began in 2008 is so lackluster, creating hardly any sunspots which contribute to our shields and thus how radiation and solar wind and particles effect our planet, that most planetary scientist say we’re headed for another little ice age.

      Our star is deep into it’s cycle of pole shifting which also happens roughly every 11 years. It’s effect on earth, if any, is not well understood.

      There is so much about our planetary systems and our own planet’s systems that we do not know or understand that it’s laughable to hear people proclaim truths that they have no way of knowing. What we know amounts to about a paragraph if all knowledge was represnted by the 10 huge volumes Encyclopedia Britannica. Anyone who claims to know how all these systems interact with each other and that they can predict them is an imbecil. How do they even know what is normal?

    • There is no dispute that there are climate extremes. We broke cold and precipitation records here in the western, northern hemisphereb this summer while they broke precipitation and heat records in Europe. Big Woop!! But whether this is just a normal cycle of our planet and it’s star is unknown and anyone claiming to know is a liar.

  4. You lot (finger pointing) .. you want evidence of Global Warming? I’ll give you evidence of Global Warming …

    http://voices.washingtonpost.c.....000162.jpg

    Refute that!

  5. captstubby

    way back in 1969 ,

    the Dunlap Illustrated Encyclopedia Of Facts(paperback edition)
    which i still have,
    under its The Earth section ,
    it had a Ice Age Theory
    which stated,”if this theory is correct, any future ice age could be arrested by breaking up the first tongues with nuclear explosives.”
    the Wilson’s theory, simply stated, is that the ice sheet
    is basically unstable. During interglacial periods, the ice builds up on the
    polar continent. At a certain point, however, it begins to flow rapidly over the
    adjoining ocean to form “a great ice shelf” as much as 10 million square miles
    in extent. This new area of ice would act as a giant radiator-reflector —
    reflecting more of the sunshine while efficiently radiating infrared (heat)
    energy into space. Thus it would act to cool the entire globe. This temperature
    drop would be enough to start the glaciers in North America and Europe growing,
    Dr. wilson suggested.
    More recently, the theory has been refined. The general opinion now is that,
    rather than a giant ice shelf, the ice surging onto the sea would break up into
    a flotilla of icebergs. Also, proponents of the Wilson theory have realized that
    the Antarctic consists of five glacial basins. Each basin, in all probability,
    acts independently of the others. So the idea of the entire ice sheet thinning
    and spreading rapidly at the same time is oversimplified. Instead, it now is
    thought that each basin surges with its own rhythm. At certain times, two or
    more basins would surge more or less simultaneously.
    Shortly after Dr. Wilson put forward his theory, John T. Hollin — now with the
    Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research here — pointed out that, if such a
    tremendous quantity of ice surged off the land over the ocean, this would cause
    a world-wide increase in sea level of as much as 45 feet — a rise that should
    be revealed by a re-establishment of ancient coastlines.
    Now “the required geological test for Wilson’s theory appears fulfilled,”
    comments D. Q. Bowen of university College of Wales. The support comes from the
    work of Dr. Hollin and a group of Australian scientists working in Papua New
    Guinea. The Huon Peninsula in New Guinea is an area of geologic uplift. As a
    result, past shorelines now are clearly visible on land.
    Paul Aharon, John Chappel, and William Compston of the Australian National
    University studied these ancient shorelines and found evidence that a sea-level
    rise of 25 feet occurred 120,000 years ago, just before the onset of the last
    ice age. From analysis of the shells of giant clams living at the time, the
    scientists also conclude that the water was 3 degrees cooler. That would have
    been a temperature drop even greater than would be expected from the effect of
    melting Antarctic ice alone.
    “. . . we conclude that an Antarctic ice surge seems likely to have initiated
    the last glaciation,” the scientists state.
    Dr. Hollin, on the other hand, has drawn from a number of sources to support his
    contention of an even greater surge 95,000 years ago, at the beginning of a
    “stadial,” or colder, period within the last ice age.
    Various types of geological evidence from Europe, Africa, Australia, and North
    America indicate the occurrence of a sudden 52-foot rise in sea level at that
    time.
    Periodic ice surges now are well recognized in glaciously. Ice floes that
    normally move at an imperceptible rate suddenly begin surgin as much as a mile a
    day for a brief period. The largest surge that has been seen occurred in
    Spitzbergen. A 20-mile front of ice pushed 20 miles out into the Barents Sea in
    a matter of months.
    Surging appears to depend more on the depth of the ice sheet than directly on
    the climate. Once ice covers an area to sufficient depth, geothermal heat begins
    melting the bottom of the glacier. This water acts as a lubricant and, after a
    period of time ranging from a decade to a century, the glacier surges.
    “The process is relatively independent of changes in the climate,” Dr. Hollin
    says.
    In 1976, a group of scientists demonstrated convincingly that, for the past
    500,000 years, Earth’s climate has varied in tune with changes in the amount of
    solar radiation the planet receives. These isolation changes are due to
    variations in Earth’s orbit and the tilt of its axis. They were first suggested
    as a cause for climatic change by a Yugoslav geophysicist, Milutin Milankovitch.
    The variations are slight, however. The question of how they could trigger the
    major climate change between glacial and interglacial periods remained open. Now
    it seems that the best candidate for such a “climatic amplier” is the Antarctic
    ice sheet.
    As suggested by Professor Bowen, “Perhaps major periods of continental
    glaciation only took place when a combination of Antarctic surge and favorable
    Milankovitch conditions arose.”
    According to this theory, when a major Antarctic surge took place during a
    Milankovitch cold period, an ice age resulted. There is evidence for abrupt
    temperature drops during interglacial periods which cannot be explained by
    orbital variations. These could be the result of surges during Milankovitch warm
    periods.
    “Surges initiate a period of glaciation, and Milankovitch factors may control
    the outcome,” Dr. Hollin says.
    There remain a number of loose ends; but at least the broad outline of a
    plausible theory for the start of an ice age is emerging.

    Reconstructing Earth’s past climate is a scientific puzzle whose pieces are
    slowly dropping into place. The latest piece whose fit has been confirmed is the
    role of the Antarctic ice sheet in global glaciation. Two assessments published
    in the journal Nature earlier this year support an idea proposed in 1964 by a
    New Zealand scientist, Alex T. Wilson.He suggested that rapid expansion of, or a
    surge in, the Antarctic ice sheet could trigger an ice age.

    Wilson’s theory, simply stated, is that the ice sheet
    is basically unstable. During interglacial periods, the ice builds up on the
    polar continent. At a certain point, however, it begins to flow rapidly over the
    adjoining ocean to form “a great ice shelf” as much as 10 million square miles
    in extent. This new area of ice would act as a giant radiator-reflector —
    reflecting more of the sunshine while efficiently radiating infrared (heat)
    energy into space. Thus it would act to cool the entire globe. This temperature
    drop would be enough to start the glaciers in North America and Europe growing,
    Dr. wilson suggested.
    More recently, the theory has been refined. The general opinion now is that,
    rather than a giant ice shelf, the ice surging onto the sea would break up into
    a flotilla of icebergs. Also, proponents of the Wilson theory have realized that
    the Antarctic consists of five glacial basins. Each basin, in all probability,
    acts independently of the others. So the idea of the entire ice sheet thinning
    and spreading rapidly at the same time is oversimplified. Instead, it now is
    thought that each basin surges with its own rhythm. At certain times, two or
    more basins would surge more or less simultaneously.
    Shortly after Dr. Wilson put forward his theory, John T. Hollin — now with the
    Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research here — pointed out that, if such a
    tremendous quantity of ice surged off the land over the ocean, this would cause
    a world-wide increase in sea level of as much as 45 feet — a rise that should
    be revealed by a re-establishment of ancient coastlines.
    Now “the required geological test for Wilson’s theory appears fulfilled,”
    comments D. Q. Bowen of university College of Wales. The support comes from the
    work of Dr. Hollin and a group of Australian scientists working in Papua New
    Guinea. The Huon Peninsula in New Guinea is an area of geologic uplift. As a
    result, past shorelines now are clearly visible on land.
    Paul Aharon, John Chappel, and William Compston of the Australian National
    University studied these ancient shorelines and found evidence that a sea-level
    rise of 25 feet occurred 120,000 years ago, just before the onset of the last
    ice age. From analysis of the shells of giant clams living at the time, the
    scientists also conclude that the water was 3 degrees cooler. That would have
    been a temperature drop even greater than would be expected from the effect of
    melting Antarctic ice alone.
    “. . . we conclude that an Antarctic ice surge seems likely to have initiated
    the last glaciation,” the scientists state.
    Dr. Hollin, on the other hand, has drawn from a number of sources to support his
    contention of an even greater surge 95,000 years ago, at the beginning of a
    “stadial,” or colder, period within the last ice age.
    Various types of geological evidence from Europe, Africa, Australia, and North
    America indicate the occurrence of a sudden 52-foot rise in sea level at that
    time.
    Periodic ice surges now are well recognized in glaciously. Ice floes that
    normally move at an imperceptible rate suddenly begin surgin as much as a mile a
    day for a brief period. The largest surge that has been seen occurred in
    Spitzbergen. A 20-mile front of ice pushed 20 miles out into the Barents Sea in
    a matter of months.
    Surging appears to depend more on the depth of the ice sheet than directly on
    the climate. Once ice covers an area to sufficient depth, geothermal heat begins
    melting the bottom of the glacier. This water acts as a lubricant and, after a
    period of time ranging from a decade to a century, the glacier surges.
    “The process is relatively independent of changes in the climate,” Dr. Hollin
    says.
    In 1976, a group of scientists demonstrated convincingly that, for the past
    500,000 years, Earth’s climate has varied in tune with changes in the amount of
    solar radiation the planet receives. These isolation changes are due to
    variations in Earth’s orbit and the tilt of its axis. They were first suggested
    as a cause for climatic change by a Yugoslav geophysicist, Milutin Milankovitch.
    The variations are slight, however. The question of how they could trigger the
    major climate change between glacial and interglacial periods remained open. Now
    it seems that the best candidate for such a “climatic amplier” is the Antarctic
    ice sheet.
    As suggested by Professor Bowen, “Perhaps major periods of continental
    glaciation only took place when a combination of Antarctic surge and favorable
    Milankovitch conditions arose.”
    According to this theory, when a major Antarctic surge took place during a
    Milankovitch cold period, an ice age resulted. There is evidence for abrupt
    temperature drops during interglacial periods which cannot be explained by
    orbital variations. These could be the result of surges during Milankovitch warm
    periods.
    “Surges initiate a period of glaciation, and Milankovitch factors may control
    the outcome,” Dr. Hollin says.
    There remain a number of loose ends; but at least the broad outline of a
    plausible theory for the start of an ice age is emerging.




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