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Rasmussen: Romney +1, Battleground: All Tied

From Rasmussen:

Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

Tuesday, November 06, 2012

The final Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll of Election 2012 shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 49% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 48%…

Both candidates are viewed favorably by 50% of voters nationwide.

When it comes to the economy, 50% trust Romney more, while 47% have more confidence in the president…

The Rasmussen Reports Electoral College projections now show the president with 237 Electoral Votes and Romney with 206. The magic number needed to win the White House is 270. Eight states with 95 Electoral College votes remain Toss-ups: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, Ohio, Virginia and Wisconsin.

Rasmussen Reports figures include both those who have already voted and those likely to vote. Among those who have already voted, 43% are Democrats and 33% Republican. Among those expected to vote today, 39% are Republican and 37% Democrat…

It’s hard to believe that the Democrats are now leading by 10% in early voting, after all of the other reports we have heard.

Both candidates do well within their own party, while Romney has a double-digit advantage among unaffiliated voters

Which is a huge advantage.

From the Politico:

Battleground Tracking Poll: Dead heat

By JAMES HOHMANN | Tue November 6, 2012

BOSTON—The presidential race is tied going into Election Day.

The final POLITICO/George Washington University Battleground Tracking Poll of 1,000 likely voters — conducted Sunday and Monday— shows Mitt Romney and President Barack Obama each claiming 47 percent nationally…

Independents break for Romney by 15 points, 47 percent to 32 percent.

Across the 10 states identified by POLITICO as competitive, Obama leads 49 percent to 43 percent…

Which doesn’t really comport with other polls or even with Independents going for Romney in such a big way.

On the generic congressional ballot, Republicans edge Democrats by 47 percent to 46 percent. It was tied last week…

Which is a good trend.

An identical number of voters approve of the president’s job performance, 49 percent, as disapprove.

Which means Obama’s approval rating is below 50%.

Romney and Obama also are each liked by exactly 50 percent of voters…

More good news.

One third of the electorate has already voted, including 36 percent of Romney supporters and 33 percent of Obama supporters…

Which is more like what we have been hearing. (And unlike what Rasmussen is reporting.)

The potentially more important number is a combination nationally of those who have already voted and those who call themselves “extremely likely” to vote. Romney leads this group by three percent, 51 percent to 48 percent…


Romney maintains a significant 6-point advantage on who is better for the economy and creating jobs, 51 percent to 45 percent. A majority, 53 percent, disapprove of Obama’s handling of the economy, 57 disapprove of his spending policies and 54 think the country is on the wrong track.

For the first time all year, Romney has taken the lead on which candidate will better handle tax policy. Obama was up by 2 points for the last four weeks, but Romney pulled ahead by 1 point, 48 percent to 47 percent – a statistical tie…

We’ll take it.

Meanwhile, for comic relief, we have this via the Politico:

PPP: Obama leads everywhere

By CHARLES MAHTESIAN | Mon November 5, 2012

The Democratic automated polling firm Public Policy Polling has come in for a great deal of criticism this year, mainly from Republicans questioning its motives and methodology…

Now, almost on cue, PPP has delivered a final series of state polls that puts President Barack Obama in the lead in Michigan, Pennsylvania and every battleground state except North Carolina – where it reports a 49-49 tie.

Against the backdrop of a highly competitive election, the uniformity of those results – and the fact that PPP shows 5 to 6-point spreads in Colorado, Michigan, Ohio and Pennsylvania — puts the firm out on a ledge

We think they mean ‘limb.’

But the idea is to put Republican voters out on a ledge.

Lastly, we have this from the UK’s Daily Mail:

Exclusive: Romney UP one point in Ohio and TIED in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, according to his campaign’s internal polling

Romney is also three points up in New Hampshire

By Toby Harnden | 5 November 2012

Mitt Romney is ahead by a single percentage point in Ohio – the swing state that could well decide the election – according to internal polling data provided to MailOnline by a Republican party source.

Internal campaign polling completed on Sunday night by campaign pollster Neil Newhouse has Romney three points up in New Hampshire, two points up in Iowa and dead level in Wisconsin. Most startlingly, the figures show Romney and Obama deadlocked in Pennsylvania…

The internal polls show Romney trailing in Nevada, reflected in a consensus among senior advisers that Obama will probably win the state. Early voting in Nevada has shown very heavy turnout in the Democratic stronghold of Clark County and union organisation in the state is strong…

And Nevada is hopelessly corrupt.

[T]he Romney campaign insists that pollsters have their models wrong and are overestimating Democratic turnout, oversampling Democrats and underestimating Republican enthusiasm.

Which is hard to argue with. The real question will be how much the polls will manage to suppress the Republican turnout. Which is their sole purpose at this point.

If Republicans turnout like they did in 2010, Romney will win. If they turnout like they did in 2008, Obama will win. It’s that simple.

This article was posted by Steve on Tuesday, November 6th, 2012. Comments are currently closed.

19 Responses to “Rasmussen: Romney +1, Battleground: All Tied”

  1. Reality Bytes says:

    By perseverance the snail reached the ark. – Charles Spurgeon

    Steady guys. We’ll get there. Either way, sooner or later Jesus comes back & straightens everyone out. And this time, no more Mister Nice Guy!

  2. Reality Bytes says:

    Talk about voter enthusiasm From the Detroit News:


    Dead democrats vote all the time. But republicans come back to cast theirs just to keep it fair after all.

    The article doesn’t actually say who the man voted for, but I think we all know don’t we?

  3. canary says:

    There are more liberal voters in my state and obviously didn’t follow state voting laws as others told me and I experienced. Last time I had to show picture ID voters card and be in book which I did. This time they didn’t ask for anything. She asked “is this you in the book? ” I said “I don’t know? Is that me? Don’t you want to see some type ID or card to see if that’s me?” She says “No.” I said your not following the law.” She says “we don’t ask for ID here. Is that you in the book:” I said I don’t know.” She get’s tired and hands me a ballot. New ballot and no markers. Took everyone forever to fill in huge boxes with dinky ink pins instead of the markers this year. Dumb people.
    I thought this year would be more strict, but after all the warnings and law changes clear up to me looking them up on the election site laws. They were not followed. From what I hear no poll followed them.

  4. canary says:

    Unbelievable, that was not a tear in Obama’s eye. It was from the cold wind or cocaine, which he first admitted. Now he’s playing it for nostalgia and CNN keeps going on and on about Obama’s tears and his spokesman is talking about it.

    When I heard on the radio someone someone randomly calling people saying he was Obama, I didn’t think it sounded like him at all. I thought it was a comic pretending to be him.

    Well, Obama hanging with JayZ waiting for the finish, I guess I just think birds of a feather flock together, and lay down with dogs get up with fleas.

    And a photo of Obama at an election poll they would not cover up in spite of complaints, but I guy with MIT college shirt can’t vote?

    And the New Black Panther in control of the door opening and closing again this election. What the heck was that stack of cards in his hands he was handing out to everyone going in?

    Obama is a thug and bad role model.

    • canary says:

      Correction. Media wrong. It wasn’t a photo.
      It was an entire huge wall painted with Obama and his words of hope and change and quotes.
      Poor kids having to see that everyday. Reminds me Saddam Hussein giant statue.

    • canary says:

      correction. Obama did not admit it was the cold wind or cocaine at first. He first blamed it on the cold wind which is exactly what it looked like. I thought maybe cocaine because he was with JayZ.

      Obama doesn’t cry no matter what happens, or who dies, like the FT. Hood families and victims are now suing him, for not calling it an act of terror.

      It’s obvious from the footage it was not a tear.

  5. Anonymoose says:

    Voting for me took about half an hour. The place I’m at is so liberal me and an elderly couple may have been the only Romney voters in the room. There were a lot of black college age voters coming in, many talking about their first time voting–which actually made sense. If they were in the 18-21 age range they were too young for the first round of “O”.

    No one was electioneering, and they either required a photo ID or a non-photo ID such as the election notice they mailed out or a utility bill. Everyone seemed fine using their driver’s license. All voters were noted in a database and then had a sticker they put in a book and signed. All good and well, I’d been having sneaking thoughts with all the early voting going on about how much impersonating was happening.

    In these places that just require you to only self-identify yourself imagine how easy it would be to do a bunch of absentee ballots. You show up on election day and sorry, you already voted. How could you prove you hadn’t?

    The process mostly went smoothly; they were having troubles with the electronic voting machine, but I could tell from the conversations I overheard it was a network setup problem, not something nefarious. (But another liberal person I know was posting online about a voting machine that was switching votes from Obama to Romney and I kept thinking where she was when the Romney to Obama machines were in the news–oh yeah, those didn’t matter.)

    So…..just avoidin’ the news…yep….just going to tune in tomorrow and see what came of it……

    • canary says:

      We have more Democratic voters in my state and voting is just terrible. Not only was I put through hoops the last vote in city, I listened to the election people talking to Democrats complaining there weren’t enough and I said there are more Democrats than Republicans they were happy, and let me join in, thinking I was Democratic. Then when I mentioned something that had nothing to do with even the small vote, I was phyisically pushed out the door, as I said “oh, it’s okay for you electoral poll working Democrats to stand there chatting with voters, but I can’t say a word.” She was one big cow and sitting next to her stupid husband working who wrote my address down wrong and continued to write my address down right, after the 3rd time, I grabbed it and said I will write my own address. I hate voting. I’m always having to get on my cell and call the election board on them.

    • canary says:

      This happened when I voted a few months ago, district election. I had my old voter card and new voter card, and ID everything to be prepared for the laws, and the cow grabbed my old voter card and I said you can’t do that. It’s proof I’ve voted here for over 30 years, in case you mess up.
      Anyways, after they pushed me out, people came up and listened to me tell how corrupt our schools and town were for a long time. Appalled, just appalled.

  6. Reality Bytes says:

    We have met the enemy and they are us.
    God Save Us! The United States of America….

  7. Reality Bytes says:

    Regardless of outcome I say Christie gets his weight in dead fish.

  8. Reality Bytes says:

    God forgive us. Have mercy on us.

  9. Reality Bytes says:

    The well America drinks is poisoned.

  10. Reality Bytes says:

    Fox reporting Romney is contesting their projected win for Ohio!

  11. Reality Bytes says:

    Just checked Revelations for any mention of America; Zip, nada, nuthin.

    • canary says:

      The anti-Christ that makes everyone who wants to eat or buy anything carry the mark. Obama is pretty anti-Christ.

      Actually, I think it was very close.

      Anyways, they scrubbed Obama’s speech after his inauguration the morning of the Democratic Prayer Retreat. He was sweating, and picking at his nose, and uh uh, more sweat. I’ve tried periodically. Someone told me his picking was something called ticking that people having withdraws have. He was miserable. Very bizarre. I challenge anyone to find the first Black President in U.S. History to find the history of his first Prayer retreat as President. The one where Nancy Pelosi spoke before him and said how she was just talking to the new president and they were discussing how Muslims are the same as Christians and believe do unto others as you would do unto yourself. Bizarre that the first thing he does at a prayer retreat is defend the Muslim religion.

      I’m predicting that Obama might not give a winner speech for awhile. And they probably have someone making sure Biden isn’t around.

      We will see a different Obama now. A bolder Obama. An Obama who plans on having more fun and travel than before. He has nothing to lose. He has picked up on the American people
      idolizing bad behavior. No one stopped him. The part of him that couldn’t wait to get out of there so he could be rich and live with the rich and famous actors and actresses won’t stop him.
      I don’t see that moment I hoped for when he was elected the first time to stop hating America and admit he was wrong about America and his life long hate.

      So, I’m just wondering when we get to see his mug. Too quiet from the man who told how he became addicted to the clapping of the audience the moment they clapped when he was on stage for a skit at Occidental. He explained he was to put up a fake fight and the others drag him off, and that he really fought. Then pages of his sulking that he didn’t have a bigger part.
      How dare they not give him a bigger part. So, we’ve seen nothing yet, and now he is one of those with “yes” people surrounding him thwarting his judgement.

      The people will see the real Obama. Impeach him. And then get Joe Biden in there and he won’t last.

    • canary says:

      Well, there’s good-hearted Romney. Where’s Obama? and where’s Bo.

  12. morninggloryseed says:

    I hate quote other people but (to paraphrase) I am sure the Republic will survive another 4 years of Obama but not so sure it will survive the people who would actually reelect an Obama Presidency.

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