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Shocker: The Republican Base Opposes Amnesty

From the National Journal:

Republican Voters Warn Lawmakers Against Citizenship for Illegal Immigrants

By Alex Roarty | June 24, 2013

The conservative rank-and-file have a loud and clear message for Republican officials: Support citizenship for illegal immigrants at your own peril.

A sizable plurality of registered GOP voters say they will be less likely to support their incumbent lawmaker if he or she votes for immigration reform that includes a pathway to citizenship for those currently living illegally in the United States, according to the latest United Technologies/National Journal Congressional Connection Poll. The findings show that even as national Republican leaders tout the Senate’s reform measure as a political necessity for the party, it remains a risky vote for individual GOP lawmakers wary of a primary challenger.

Among all adults surveyed, immigration is something of a moot issue: 42 percent of them said a vote either for or against immigration reform would not greatly affect their support for their senator or representative. Thirty-three percent said it would make them less likely to support him or her, and 21 percent said such a vote would make them more likely to back the incumbent.

That is primarily because nobody really gives a tinker’s damn about amnesty. It is simply not seen as a crisis or a top issue for most people, including Hispanics.

But among Republicans, the issue elicits much more passion, none of it good for immigration-reform advocates within the GOP.

Nearly half, 49 percent, said lawmakers who back a proposal offering a pathway to citizenship will lose their support. Only 15 percent said it would make them more likely to back their incumbent; 30 percent said it would not make a difference in their vote.

The antipathy runs deepest among the most conservative bloc of voters–blue-collar whites–and in places where many Republicans draw their support, rural areas. Forty-five percent of whites without a college degree said they are less likely to support lawmakers voting for the measure. Just 15 percent said they would be more likely to back them, while 33 percent said it wouldn’t make a difference.

These are the very same people who stayed home in November 2012, which cost Mr. Romney the election. And no Republican President will ever win election without them. And that is true for most state and local candidates, as well.

Among rural voters, 45 percent said they’d be less likely to back the incumbent, while 41 percent of them said it wouldn’t make a difference. Just 12 percent said supporting the measure would improve the sitting lawmaker’s chance of drawing their vote…

Independents side with Republicans on the question, although with less fervency. Thirty-five percent of them said they will be less likely to back a lawmaker who supports comprehensive immigration reform, while only 19 percent said it would make them more likely to support the incumbent. Still, a plurality, 44 percent, said the issue won’t weigh on their decision during next year’s midterms.

The relative lack of interest from Democrats, combined with the GOP-leaning position among independents, creates further disincentive for Republicans, who are unlikely to find much general-election reward for their vote if they survive a primary…

Anyway, we suspect the Republican base cares because they see amnesty as the end of the Republican Party as any real opposition. Unfortunately, however, the Republican elites aren’t concerned about being a real opposition. They will happily return to their 50 years in the wilderness, as long as they might still be praised by the inside the beltway news media and get invited to the right cocktail parties.

And we suspect the "most conservative blue-collar rural white’ Republicans care about amnesty even more because they realize that it will change the politics and culture of our country forever. And they probably also realize they will have to compete with these people for jobs. While amnesty only means cheaper lawn care and nannies for the elites.

This article was posted by Steve Gilbert on Tuesday, June 25th, 2013. Comments are currently closed.

2 Responses to “Shocker: The Republican Base Opposes Amnesty”

  1. Noyzmakr

    To hell with it. I’m filing for disability while Obama is stll in office. I’m a shoe-in for it. I have to be nuts to have voted for these idiot republocrat sellouts.




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