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WP Fact Check: The CBO Didn’t Say What It Said

From the Washington Post’s ‘fact checker‘:

No, CBO did not say Obamacare will kill 2 million jobs

By Glenn Kessler | February 4, 2014

[Confusion has been] spawned in part by seriously flawed headlines on the Web:

Health-Care Law Expected to Take Greater Toll on Workforce
Obamacare will push 2 million workers out of labor market: CBO
CBO: Obamacare to cost 2.3 million jobs over 10 years
CBO: Lower enrollment, bigger job losses with Obamacare
CBO: O-Care slowing growth, contributing to job losses
The CBO Just Nuked Obamacare
CBO says Obamacare will add to deficit, create reluctant work force
CBO nearly triples estimate of working hours lost by 2021 due to Affordable Care Act
Obamacare Will Cost 2.5 Million Jobs: Report
Congressional Budget Office: Obamacare A Tax On Workers

What’s really going on here? Hang on, because it’s a confusing issue.

Meaning, we are going to tell you an ever bigger whopper than usual. By the way, it will turn out that none of these headlines is actually inaccurate. The CBO said that 2.3 million people will lose their full time jobs in 2017 because of Obama-Care. And those 2.3 million workers will be losing their jobs, whether by ‘choice’ or not.

The Facts

First, this is not about jobs offered by employers. It’s about workers — and the choices they make…

Boy, the White House really told their media minions to hit the ‘choice’ word hard. It must have done well in the focus groups. But if 2.3 million people give up their full time jobs, isn’t it about jobs? Haven’t 2.3 million jobs been lost?

Look at it this way: If someone says they decided to leave their job for personal reasons, most people would not say they “lost” their jobs. They simply decided not to work.

If someone has been forced out of working full time because they want to keep their Obama-Care subsidy, then they have ‘lost’ their job. And no word games will disguise that simple fact.

The CBO, in its sober fashion, virtually screams that this is not about jobs…

The CBO said this figure was not based on employers firing people or cutting their hours to avoid the Obama-Care mandate. That is another story.

In fact, no one really knows what percentage will leave the work force entirely and what percentage will shift to part-time work, making it difficult to predict how this will shake out in the end.

Er, the CBO says they know. According to the Washington Post, February 4th: "The CBO predicts that the economy will have the equivalent of 2.3 million fewer full-time workers by 2021 as a result of the law — nearly three times previous estimates."

The Pinocchio Test

The Fact Checker takes no position on the implications of the CBO’s analysis…

Huh?

[T]he argument could go, this would hurt the nation’s budget because 2.3 million fewer people will pay taxes on their earnings. That’s certainly an intellectually solid argument — though others might counter that universal health care is worth a reduction in overall employment — but it’s not at all the same as saying that all of these jobs would be lost. Some jobs will go away, but the actual number is unclear because of the unknown interaction between part-time and full-time work.

The CBO was not unclear. They said there would be 2.3 million few full time workers. What is unclear about that?

And this is the same CBO that this ‘fact checker’ and all the rest cited as the authority when they were giving preposterously rosy (and untrue) predictions about Obama-Care.

Once again, we award Three Pinocchios to anyone who deliberately gets this wrong.

What a pathetic charade these ‘fact checkers’ are. Not one of the headlines cited got this wrong. Those 2.3 million workers will be losing their jobs, whether by choice or not.

This article was posted by Steve Gilbert on Thursday, February 6th, 2014. Comments are currently closed.

2 Responses to “WP Fact Check: The CBO Didn’t Say What It Said”

  1. Pay no attention to that Statistic behind the curtain

  2. AcornsRNutz

    “though others might counter that universal health care is worth a reduction in overall employment”

    Might they? Well that’s it folks, we’re arguing for our own demise.




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