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WP Post Poll Oversampled Ohio Dems By 9%

From a shameless Washington Post:

Post polls: Obama has lead in Ohio, edge in Fla., hampering Romney path to victory

By Dan Balz and Jon Cohen | Tues September 25, 2012

President Obama is threatening Mitt Romney’s best route to victory in the electoral college, grabbing a significant lead over his Republican challenger in Ohio and a slender edge in Florida, according to two new polls by The Washington Post…

In the presidential race, Obama is ahead of Romney in Ohio by 52 percent to 44 percent among likely voters. In Florida, the president leads 51 percent to 47 percent, a numerical edge but not a statistically significant one. Among all registered Florida voters, Obama is ahead by nine percentage points…

There would be few plausible ways for Romney to win the election if he lost Florida and Ohio, and even losing one of them would make his path to victory exceedingly narrow. No Republican has captured the White House without winning Ohio, and Florida, with its 29 delegates, may be even more vital to Romney’s hopes…

So once again, all is lost.

That is, until you learn that, according to their own data, the Washington Post oversampled Democrats in Florida by 10%. (Dem/Rep/Ind = 35/25/32%) But for some reason they only oversampled Democrats among likely voters in Florida by 1% (Dem/Rep/Ind = 33/32/31%)

And they oversampled Democrats in Ohio by 9%. (Dem/Rep/Ind = 35/26/35%) And oversampled Democrats among likely voters in Ohio by 7%. (Dem/Rep/Ind = 37/30/30%)

So Obama is only ahead by 8% in a poll where Democrats were oversampled by 7%. Just imagine what the real numbers must be.

When is the news media going to ditch these ‘replacement pollsters’ and bring back the real ones? If history is any guide, they will wait until the last week in October. After they have done as much damage as they can with these fantasies.

This article was posted by Steve on Wednesday, September 26th, 2012. Comments are currently closed.

3 Responses to “WP Post Poll Oversampled Ohio Dems By 9%”

  1. Reality Bytes says:

    Of course this all makes sense using the Costello equation:


    If you think this is funny imagine OMB’s conference on ObamaCare.

  2. Tater Salad says:

    Doesn’t Barack Obama remind everyone that he is just another Eddie Haskell when dealing with the economy and foreign policy! It sure does and here is the resemblance between the two:

    1. Eddie being Barack: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mWnD6ZWsCi0

    2. Barack being Eddie: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hh0ib0bSj-o

    America, whether liberal or conservative……this is what is leading “your” country.

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